Panserraikos vs PAOK - Super League grèque - Journee 25 - mercredi 28 février 2024 à 18:00
Stade : Dimotiko Stadio Serron (Serres)
Score final : Panserraikos 0-2 PAOK
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit PAOK favori avec 55% de chances de victoire (nul 23%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 0.9 pour Panserraikos, 1.6 pour PAOK. PAOK a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Panserraikos | 21% | 8,50 | +9,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 23% | 4,60 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire PAOK ✓ | 55% | 1,30 | -22,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Super League grèque :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Panserraikos marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 72% | 1,67 | +12,0% (value bet) |
| PAOK marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 88% | 1,09 | -4,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 63% | 1,95 | +12,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 37% | 1,80 | -19,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 85% | 1,17 | 0,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 65% | 1,53 | 0,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 43% | 2,50 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 35% | 2,30 | -8,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 57% | 1,53 | -8,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Panserraikos vs PAOK :
| Statistique | Panserraikos | PAOK |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 0,86 | 1,64 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 2 |
| Possession | 28% | 72% |
| Tirs | 8 | 16 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 5 |
| Corners | 1 | 6 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 18 | 63 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panserraikos | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | -16 | 24 | 1.14 | WDDLLD | 2.8/10 |
| PAOK | 24 | 17 | 3 | 4 | +41 | 54 | 1.67 | LDWWWW | 7.2/10 |
Coming into this game, Panserraikos has picked up 3 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Panserraikos has scored 3 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Can Panserraikos turn this around? They have not won in the last 5 games coming into this, with 3 draws and 2 defeats.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Panserraikos recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Panserraikos has fired blanks in 10 games this season. That's 42% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 3 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Panserraikos has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 0 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 11/24 games for Panserraikos this season.
Panserraikos will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 3 matches. During the last five games they have scored 3 times and overall this season they have scored 1.08 goals per game.
Coming into this game, PAOK has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. PAOK has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
PAOK has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 3 games.
Scoring is not an issue for PAOK when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 7 games they have played on the road. Can Panserraikos stop this run?
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 20 games for PAOK ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
PAOK will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Panserraikos, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
In the last 5 matches for PAOK, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 12 matches (50% of all matches) involving PAOK has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that PAOK will score today, as they have netted in the last 15 games coming into this one and have scored 9 goals in the last five games.
Panserraikos a perdu contre PAOK 0-2 en Super League grèque le mercredi 28 février 2024 à 18:00 au Dimotiko Stadio Serron (Serres). xG du match : 0.9 pour Panserraikos, 1.6 pour PAOK. Possession : 28% pour Panserraikos, 72% pour PAOK. Tirs : 8 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Panserraikos, 16 (dont 5 cadrés) pour PAOK. Indice de forme : Panserraikos 2.8/10, PAOK 7.2/10. Sur 3 confrontations directes : 0 victoire Panserraikos, 0 nul, 3 victoires PAOK.
Score final : Panserraikos 0-2 PAOK. L'algorithme avait prevu PAOK (55%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.