Southampton vs Plymouth Argyle - Championship - Journee 25 - vendredi 29 décembre 2023 à 18:00
Stade : St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton, Hampshire)
Score final : Southampton 2-1 Plymouth Argyle
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Southampton favori avec 75% de chances de victoire (nul 16%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 2.3 pour Southampton, 0.7 pour Plymouth Argyle. Southampton a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Southampton ✓ | 75% | 1,30 | -2,0% |
| Match nul | 16% | 5,50 | -2,0% |
| Victoire Plymouth Argyle | 9% | 7,50 | -4,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Championship :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 92% | 1,06 | -2,0% |
| Plymouth Argyle marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 53% | 1,55 | -12,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 48% | 1,67 | -12,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 52% | 2,10 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 84% | 1,14 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 63% | 1,40 | -8,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 41% | 2,00 | -9,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 37% | 2,82 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 59% | 1,73 | +1,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Southampton vs Plymouth Argyle :
| Statistique | Southampton | Plymouth Argyle |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 2,32 | 0,66 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 1 |
| Possession | 78% | 22% |
| Tirs | 29 | 9 |
| Tirs cadrés | 8 | 2 |
| Corners | 9 | 3 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 85 | 19 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | +14 | 48 | 1.64 | LLWWDW | 8.9/10 |
| Plymouth Argyle | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | -1 | 28 | 1.43 | WLDWDD | 4.7/10 |
Coming into this game, Southampton has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Southampton has scored 12 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Southampton is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 6 games that they have played at home.
Superb stuff from Southampton at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 8 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Plymouth Argyle's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Southampton from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 8 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Southampton as they have now gone 16 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
Southampton a gardé sa cage inviolée 3 fois lors de ses 5 derniers matchs, n'encaissant que 2 buts durant cette période. Globalement cette saison, leur défense a réalisé 7 clean sheets.
Southampton is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Plymouth Argyle, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 12 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Southampton has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 15/24 games for Southampton this season.
It's likely that Southampton will score today, as they have netted in the last 17 games coming into this one and have scored 12 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Plymouth Argyle has picked up 6 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Plymouth Argyle has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Plymouth Argyle has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Momentum is really building for Plymouth Argyle as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 1 of the last 5 games they have played.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 3 games involving Plymouth Argyle has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Southampton get in on the action today? There has been a total of 19 goals in the last 5 games for Plymouth Argyle, both home and away.
Plymouth Argyle will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Southampton, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 1 and drawn 3
Les choses ne vont pas si bien devant le but pour Plymouth Argyle ces derniers temps, l'équipe n'ayant pas réussi à marquer lors de 2 des 5 derniers matchs. L'entraîneur changera-t-il ses tactiques aujourd'hui, ou lancera-t-il un autre attaquant ?
In the last 5 matches for Plymouth Argyle, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 15 matches (63% of all matches) involving Plymouth Argyle has seen BTTS landing.
Southampton a battu Plymouth Argyle 2-1 en Championship le vendredi 29 décembre 2023 à 18:00 au St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton, Hampshire). xG du match : 2.3 pour Southampton, 0.7 pour Plymouth Argyle. Possession : 78% pour Southampton, 22% pour Plymouth Argyle. Tirs : 29 (dont 8 cadrés) pour Southampton, 9 (dont 2 cadrés) pour Plymouth Argyle. Indice de forme : Southampton 8.9/10, Plymouth Argyle 4.7/10. Sur 5 confrontations directes : 2 victoires Southampton, 1 nul, 2 victoires Plymouth Argyle.
Score final : Southampton 2-1 Plymouth Argyle. L'algorithme avait prevu Southampton (75%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.