Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund - Bundesliga - Journee 27 - samedi 30 mars 2024 à 17:30
Stade : Allianz Arena (München)
Score final : Bayern München 0-2 Borussia Dortmund
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Bayern München favori avec 67% de chances de victoire (nul 18%). L'algorithme avait prévu Bayern München favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.6 pour Bayern München, 1.4 pour Borussia Dortmund. Bayern München a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Bayern München | 67% | 1,39 | -5,0% |
| Match nul | 18% | 5,25 | -1,0% |
| Victoire Borussia Dortmund ✓ | 15% | 5,55 | -3,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Bundesliga :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 93% | 1,04 | -3,0% |
| Borussia Dortmund marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 71% | 1,30 | -6,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 66% | 1,36 | -8,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 34% | 3,00 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 90% | 1,06 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 75% | 1,30 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 55% | 1,86 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 25% | 3,13 | -7,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 45% | 1,94 | -7,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund :
| Statistique | Bayern München | Borussia Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,59 | 1,35 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 2 |
| Possession | 61% | 39% |
| Tirs | 19 | 12 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 6 |
| Corners | 7 | 4 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 84 | 41 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | +47 | 60 | 2.06 | LLWDWW | 6.5/10 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | +21 | 50 | 1.63 | WDLWWW | 7.6/10 |
Coming into this game, Bayern München has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Bayern München has scored 19 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Bayern München is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 4 games that they have played at home.
Borussia Dortmund's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Bayern München from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 4 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Bayern München as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 8 games involving Bayern München has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Borussia Dortmund get in on the action today? There has been a total of 28 goals in the last 5 games for Bayern München, both home and away.
Bayern München will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Borussia Dortmund, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
The last 5 games for Bayern München has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Bayern München has seen a total of 15/26 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 58% of all matches played.
It's likely that Bayern München will score today, as they have netted in the last 5 games coming into this one and have scored 19 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Borussia Dortmund has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Borussia Dortmund has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Borussia Dortmund away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 8 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Borussia Dortmund a enchaîné une bonne série de résultats et reste désormais sur 3 matchs sans défaite.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 6 games for Borussia Dortmund ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Borussia Dortmund will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Bayern München, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
In the last 5 matches for Borussia Dortmund, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 17 matches (65% of all matches) involving Borussia Dortmund has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Borussia Dortmund will score today, as they have netted in the last 6 games coming into this one and have scored 10 goals in the last five games.
Bayern München a perdu contre Borussia Dortmund 0-2 en Bundesliga le samedi 30 mars 2024 à 17:30 au Allianz Arena (München). xG du match : 1.6 pour Bayern München, 1.4 pour Borussia Dortmund. Possession : 61% pour Bayern München, 39% pour Borussia Dortmund. Tirs : 19 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Bayern München, 12 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Borussia Dortmund. Indice de forme : Bayern München 6.5/10, Borussia Dortmund 7.6/10. Sur 51 confrontations directes : 29 victoires Bayern München, 9 nuls, 13 victoires Borussia Dortmund.
Score final : Bayern München 0-2 Borussia Dortmund. L'algorithme avait prevu Bayern München (67%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.