Borussia M'gladbach vs Freiburg - Bundesliga - Journee 27 - samedi 30 mars 2024 à 14:30
Stade : BORUSSIA-PARK (Mönchengladbach)
Score final : Borussia M'gladbach 0-3 Freiburg
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Borussia M'gladbach favori avec 45% de chances de victoire (nul 28%). L'algorithme avait prévu Borussia M'gladbach favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.7 pour Borussia M'gladbach, 1.6 pour Freiburg. Borussia M'gladbach a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Borussia M'gladbach | 45% | 2,29 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 28% | 3,80 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Freiburg ✓ | 27% | 2,93 | -7,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Bundesliga :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia M'gladbach marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 82% | 1,18 | -3,0% |
| Freiburg marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 73% | 1,27 | -6,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 60% | 1,53 | -5,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 40% | 2,38 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 81% | 1,20 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 58% | 1,70 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 36% | 2,24 | -9,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 42% | 2,17 | -4,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 64% | 1,58 | +1,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Borussia M'gladbach vs Freiburg :
| Statistique | Borussia M'gladbach | Freiburg |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,69 | 1,58 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 3 |
| Possession | 53% | 47% |
| Tirs | 21 | 15 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 9 |
| Corners | 14 | 1 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 63 | 25 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia M'gladbach | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | -4 | 28 | 1.38 | LLDDDL | 4.4/10 |
| Freiburg | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | -12 | 33 | 1.31 | WDLDDL | 2.6/10 |
Coming into this game, Borussia M'gladbach has picked up 6 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Borussia M'gladbach has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Borussia M'gladbach has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 3 games.
Momentum is really building for Borussia M'gladbach as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 1 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 5 games for Borussia M'gladbach ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Borussia M'gladbach will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Freiburg, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 1 and drawn 3
In the last 5 matches for Borussia M'gladbach, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 20 matches (77% of all matches) involving Borussia M'gladbach has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Borussia M'gladbach will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 10 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Freiburg has picked up 5 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Freiburg has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 9 games involving Freiburg has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Borussia M'gladbach get in on the action today? There has been a total of 21 goals in the last 5 games for Freiburg, both home and away.
The last 5 games for Freiburg has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Freiburg has seen a total of 16/26 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 62% of all matches played.
It's likely that Freiburg will score today, as they have netted in the last 5 games coming into this one and have scored 10 goals in the last five games.
Borussia M'gladbach a perdu contre Freiburg 0-3 en Bundesliga le samedi 30 mars 2024 à 14:30 au BORUSSIA-PARK (Mönchengladbach). xG du match : 1.7 pour Borussia M'gladbach, 1.6 pour Freiburg. Possession : 53% pour Borussia M'gladbach, 47% pour Freiburg. Tirs : 21 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Borussia M'gladbach, 15 (dont 9 cadrés) pour Freiburg. Indice de forme : Borussia M'gladbach 4.4/10, Freiburg 2.6/10. Sur 27 confrontations directes : 7 victoires Borussia M'gladbach, 10 nuls, 10 victoires Freiburg.
Score final : Borussia M'gladbach 0-3 Freiburg. L'algorithme avait prevu Borussia M'gladbach (45%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.