NEC vs PSV - Eredivisie - Journee 27 - samedi 30 mars 2024 à 15:30
Stade : Goffertstadion (Nijmegen)
Score final : NEC 3-1 PSV
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit PSV favori avec 75% de chances de victoire (nul 16%). L'algorithme avait prévu PSV favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.0 pour NEC, 2.6 pour PSV. PSV a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire NEC ✓ | 9% | 6,00 | -8,0% |
| Match nul | 16% | 5,00 | -4,0% |
| Victoire PSV | 75% | 1,46 | +7,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Eredivisie :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| NEC marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 56% | 1,48 | -12,0% |
| PSV marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 93% | 1,07 | 0,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 51% | 1,62 | -11,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 49% | 2,20 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 86% | 1,12 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 66% | 1,43 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 45% | 2,10 | -3,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 34% | 2,70 | -3,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 55% | 1,74 | -2,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour NEC vs PSV :
| Statistique | NEC | PSV |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1 | 2,58 |
| Buts marqués | 3 | 1 |
| Possession | 34% | 66% |
| Tirs | 10 | 28 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 7 |
| Corners | 1 | 7 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 27 | 97 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | +10 | 39 | 1.54 | DLWLWL | 5.9/10 |
| PSV | 26 | 23 | 3 | 0 | +68 | 72 | 2.48 | WWWWDW | 9.3/10 |
Coming into this game, NEC has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. NEC has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.
NEC is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 5 games that they have played at home.
Le NEC aura confiance en ses chances de marquer aujourd'hui et cherchera à maintenir son record de buts inscrits dans chaque match à domicile cette saison.
NEC has had no trouble finding the back of the net recently and has scored in the last 13 home games. They have failed to find the net in 0 home game this season.
NEC will be looking to keep up the momentum today against PSV, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
Just 2 of the last 5 games for NEC has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 18/26 games for NEC this season.
Coming into this game, PSV has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. PSV has scored 13 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from PSV away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 13 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Scoring is not an issue for PSV when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 13 games they have played on the road. Can NEC stop this run?
Momentum is really building for PSV as they have now gone 26 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
PSV has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 3 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 15 occasions.
PSV is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against NEC, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 13 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for PSV has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 11/26 games for PSV this season.
It's likely that PSV will score today, as they have netted in the last 26 games coming into this one and have scored 13 goals in the last five games.
NEC a battu PSV 3-1 en Eredivisie le samedi 30 mars 2024 à 15:30 au Goffertstadion (Nijmegen). xG du match : 1.0 pour NEC, 2.6 pour PSV. Possession : 34% pour NEC, 66% pour PSV. Tirs : 10 (dont 5 cadrés) pour NEC, 28 (dont 7 cadrés) pour PSV. Indice de forme : NEC 5.9/10, PSV 9.3/10. Sur 16 confrontations directes : 0 victoire NEC, 1 nul, 15 victoires PSV.
Score final : NEC 3-1 PSV. L'algorithme avait prevu PSV (75%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.