Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard - Eredivisie - Journee 27 - samedi 30 mars 2024 à 17:45
Stade : Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel (Rotterdam)
Score final : Sparta Rotterdam 4-0 Fortuna Sittard
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Sparta Rotterdam favori avec 41% de chances de victoire (nul 30%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.9 pour Sparta Rotterdam, 1.2 pour Fortuna Sittard. Sparta Rotterdam a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Sparta Rotterdam ✓ | 41% | 2,14 | -6,0% |
| Match nul | 30% | 3,40 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Fortuna Sittard | 29% | 3,15 | -3,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Eredivisie :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Rotterdam marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 79% | 1,25 | -1,0% |
| Fortuna Sittard marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 72% | 1,38 | 0,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 56% | 1,80 | 0,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 44% | 1,95 | -7,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 77% | 1,31 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 53% | 1,98 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 31% | 3,52 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 47% | 1,88 | -6,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 69% | 1,28 | -9,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard :
| Statistique | Sparta Rotterdam | Fortuna Sittard |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,91 | 1,22 |
| Buts marqués | 4 | 0 |
| Possession | 55% | 45% |
| Tirs | 19 | 15 |
| Tirs cadrés | 10 | 4 |
| Corners | 9 | 4 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 52 | 32 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Rotterdam | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | -5 | 31 | 1.45 | WWLWWL | 2.6/10 |
| Fortuna Sittard | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | -11 | 34 | 1.52 | LLLDDD | 5.8/10 |
Coming into this game, Sparta Rotterdam has picked up 5 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Sparta Rotterdam has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Sparta Rotterdam has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 3 games.
Fortuna Sittard's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Sparta Rotterdam from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 3 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 3 home matches this season.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 12 games for Sparta Rotterdam ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
In the last 5 matches for Sparta Rotterdam, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 15 matches (58% of all matches) involving Sparta Rotterdam has seen BTTS landing.
Coming into this game, Fortuna Sittard has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Fortuna Sittard has scored 12 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Fortuna Sittard a aimé jouer à l'extérieur récemment, l'équipe étant actuellement sur une série d'invincibilité de 2 matchs.
Momentum is really building for Fortuna Sittard as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 3 games involving Fortuna Sittard has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Sparta Rotterdam get in on the action today? There has been a total of 19 goals in the last 5 games for Fortuna Sittard, both home and away.
Fortuna Sittard will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Sparta Rotterdam, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
Fortuna Sittard has fired blanks in 11 games this season. That's 42% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored an intriguing 12 goals.
In the last 5 matches for Fortuna Sittard, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 12 matches (46% of all matches) involving Fortuna Sittard has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Fortuna Sittard will score today, as they have netted in the last 5 games coming into this one and have scored 12 goals in the last five games.
Sparta Rotterdam a battu Fortuna Sittard 4-0 en Eredivisie le samedi 30 mars 2024 à 17:45 au Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel (Rotterdam). xG du match : 1.9 pour Sparta Rotterdam, 1.2 pour Fortuna Sittard. Possession : 55% pour Sparta Rotterdam, 45% pour Fortuna Sittard. Tirs : 19 (dont 10 cadrés) pour Sparta Rotterdam, 15 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Fortuna Sittard. Indice de forme : Sparta Rotterdam 2.6/10, Fortuna Sittard 5.8/10. Sur 21 confrontations directes : 9 victoires Sparta Rotterdam, 7 nuls, 5 victoires Fortuna Sittard.
Score final : Sparta Rotterdam 4-0 Fortuna Sittard. L'algorithme avait prevu Sparta Rotterdam (41%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.