Southampton vs Hull City - Championship - Journee 29 - mardi 20 février 2024 à 19:45
Stade : St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton, Hampshire)
Score final : Southampton 1-2 Hull City
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Southampton favori avec 73% de chances de victoire (nul 17%). L'algorithme avait prévu Southampton favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.3 pour Southampton, 1.6 pour Hull City. Hull City a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Southampton | 73% | 1,39 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 17% | 4,25 | -7,0% |
| Victoire Hull City ✓ | 10% | 5,50 | -8,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Championship :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 92% | 1,09 | 0,0% |
| Hull City marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 55% | 1,50 | -12,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 50% | 1,68 | -10,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 50% | 2,15 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 84% | 1,19 | 0,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 64% | 1,60 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 41% | 2,33 | -2,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 36% | 2,33 | -7,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 59% | 1,53 | -6,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Southampton vs Hull City :
| Statistique | Southampton | Hull City |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,34 | 1,61 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 2 |
| Possession | 58% | 42% |
| Tirs | 16 | 18 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 6 |
| Corners | 4 | 2 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 67 | 33 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | +25 | 67 | 1.68 | LLWWDW | 8.7/10 |
| Hull City | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | +6 | 51 | 1.43 | LWWLWW | 6.3/10 |
Coming into this game, Southampton has picked up 12 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Southampton has scored 13 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Southampton is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 9 games that they have played at home.
Superb stuff from Southampton at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 11 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Hull City's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Southampton from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 11 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 9 games for Southampton ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Southampton will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Hull City, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 4 and drawn 0
In the last 5 matches for Southampton, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 20 matches (63% of all matches) involving Southampton has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Southampton will score today, as they have netted in the last 25 games coming into this one and have scored 13 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Hull City has picked up 12 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Hull City has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Hull City has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 3 games.
Scoring is not an issue for Hull City when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 6 games they have played on the road. Can Southampton stop this run?
Hull City a enchaîné une bonne série et reste sur 2 matchs sans défaite.
Hull City will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Southampton, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 4 and drawn 0
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Hull City has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 20/32 games for Hull City this season.
Southampton a perdu contre Hull City 1-2 en Championship le mardi 20 février 2024 à 19:45 au St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton, Hampshire). xG du match : 1.3 pour Southampton, 1.6 pour Hull City. Possession : 58% pour Southampton, 42% pour Hull City. Tirs : 16 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Southampton, 18 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Hull City. Indice de forme : Southampton 8.7/10, Hull City 6.3/10. Sur 9 confrontations directes : 7 victoires Southampton, 1 nul, 1 victoire Hull City.
Score final : Southampton 1-2 Hull City. L'algorithme avait prevu Southampton (73%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.