Parma vs Catanzaro - Serie B - Journee 31 - lundi 1 avril 2024 à 13:00
Stade : Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma)
Score final : Parma 0-2 Catanzaro
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Parma favori avec 52% de chances de victoire (nul 26%). L'algorithme avait prévu Parma favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 2.3 pour Parma, 0.8 pour Catanzaro. Parma a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Parma | 52% | 1,70 | -7,0% |
| Match nul | 26% | 3,70 | -1,0% |
| Victoire Catanzaro ✓ | 22% | 4,75 | +1,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Serie B :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parma marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 83% | 1,15 | -4,0% |
| Catanzaro marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 66% | 1,50 | -1,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 55% | 1,80 | -1,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 45% | 1,95 | -6,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 78% | 1,25 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 55% | 1,84 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 32% | 3,00 | -1,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 45% | 2,03 | -4,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 68% | 1,36 | -6,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Parma vs Catanzaro :
| Statistique | Parma | Catanzaro |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 2,27 | 0,76 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 2 |
| Possession | 59% | 41% |
| Tirs | 28 | 9 |
| Tirs cadrés | 6 | 4 |
| Corners | 8 | 5 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 99 | 15 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parma | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | +27 | 65 | 1.54 | WDDWWW | 8/10 |
| Catanzaro | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | +8 | 49 | 1.27 | WLLDLW | 6/10 |
Coming into this game, Parma has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Parma has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Parma at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 15 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Catanzaro's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Parma from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 12 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Parma as they have now gone 8 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 13 games for Parma ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Parma is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Catanzaro, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 9 goals in those 5 games.
The last 5 games for Parma has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Parma has seen a total of 20/30 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 67% of all matches played.
It's likely that Parma will score today, as they have netted in the last 8 games coming into this one and have scored 9 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Catanzaro has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Catanzaro has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Catanzaro a aimé jouer à l'extérieur récemment, l'équipe étant actuellement sur une série de 4 matchs sans défaite.
Catanzaro will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Parma, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Catanzaro has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 16/30 games for Catanzaro this season.
Parma a perdu contre Catanzaro 0-2 en Serie B le lundi 1 avril 2024 à 13:00 au Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma). xG du match : 2.3 pour Parma, 0.8 pour Catanzaro. Possession : 59% pour Parma, 41% pour Catanzaro. Tirs : 28 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Parma, 9 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Catanzaro. Indice de forme : Parma 8/10, Catanzaro 6/10. Sur 1 confrontations directes : 1 victoire Parma, 0 nul, 0 victoire Catanzaro.
Score final : Parma 0-2 Catanzaro. L'algorithme avait prevu Parma (52%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.