Feyenoord vs Excelsior - Eredivisie - Journee 34 - dimanche 19 mai 2024 à 12:30
Stade : Stadion Feijenoord (Rotterdam)
Score final : Feyenoord 4-0 Excelsior
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Feyenoord favori avec 78% de chances de victoire (nul 13%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 2.6 pour Feyenoord, 0.9 pour Excelsior. Feyenoord a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Feyenoord ✓ | 78% | 1,20 | -5,0% |
| Match nul | 13% | 8,00 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Excelsior | 9% | 9,50 | -2,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Eredivisie :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 94% | 1,02 | -4,0% |
| Excelsior marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 59% | 1,45 | -10,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 55% | 1,50 | -12,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 45% | 2,40 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 89% | 1,05 | -6,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 72% | 1,23 | -9,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 52% | 1,62 | -10,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 28% | 3,90 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 48% | 2,23 | +3,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Feyenoord vs Excelsior :
| Statistique | Feyenoord | Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 2,58 | 0,91 |
| Buts marqués | 4 | 0 |
| Possession | 68% | 32% |
| Tirs | 30 | 12 |
| Tirs cadrés | 8 | 2 |
| Corners | 10 | 6 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 72 | 35 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | +62 | 81 | 2.18 | WWWWWW | 2/10 |
| Excelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -19 | 29 | 1.28 | LWDLWL | 4.3/10 |
Coming into this game, Feyenoord has picked up 15 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 3 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Feyenoord has scored 18 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Feyenoord is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 6 games that they have played at home.
Superb stuff from Feyenoord at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 9 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Excelsior's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Feyenoord from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 6 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 2 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Feyenoord as they have now gone 19 games without losing. They have won 5 of the last 5 games they have played.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 3 games involving Feyenoord has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Excelsior get in on the action today? There has been a total of 21 goals in the last 5 games for Feyenoord, both home and away.
Feyenoord has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 3 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 16 occasions.
Feyenoord is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Excelsior, having won 5 and drawn 0. They have scored 18 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Feyenoord has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 5 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 17/33 games for Feyenoord this season.
It's likely that Feyenoord will score today, as they have netted in the last 5 games coming into this one and have scored 18 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Excelsior has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Excelsior has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 25 games for Excelsior ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Excelsior has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 22/33 games for Excelsior this season.
Feyenoord a battu Excelsior 4-0 en Eredivisie le dimanche 19 mai 2024 à 12:30 au Stadion Feijenoord (Rotterdam). xG du match : 2.6 pour Feyenoord, 0.9 pour Excelsior. Possession : 68% pour Feyenoord, 32% pour Excelsior. Tirs : 30 (dont 8 cadrés) pour Feyenoord, 12 (dont 2 cadrés) pour Excelsior. Indice de forme : Feyenoord 2/10, Excelsior 4.3/10. Sur 16 confrontations directes : 14 victoires Feyenoord, 0 nul, 2 victoires Excelsior.
Score final : Feyenoord 4-0 Excelsior. L'algorithme avait prevu Feyenoord (78%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.