Cosenza vs Spezia - Serie B - Journee 37 - dimanche 5 mai 2024 à 13:00
Stade : Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla (Cosenza)
Score final : Cosenza 2-2 Spezia
L'algorithme Pronalgo avait estimé ce match très équilibré (32% / 35% / 32%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.4 pour Cosenza, 3.1 pour Spezia. Spezia a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Cosenza | 32% | 2,45 | -9,0% |
| Match nul ✓ | 35% | 3,10 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Spezia | 32% | 2,82 | -3,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Serie B :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cosenza marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 70% | 1,30 | -7,0% |
| Spezia marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 70% | 1,36 | -4,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 49% | 1,80 | -7,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 51% | 1,91 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 69% | 1,36 | -5,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 43% | 2,11 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 22% | 3,60 | -6,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 57% | 1,65 | -4,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 78% | 1,25 | -2,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Cosenza vs Spezia :
| Statistique | Cosenza | Spezia |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,36 | 3,06 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 2 |
| Possession | 49% | 51% |
| Tirs | 14 | 33 |
| Tirs cadrés | 6 | 15 |
| Corners | 5 | 15 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 25 | 52 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cosenza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | +5 | 45 | 1.33 | LDDWWW | 7.2/10 |
| Spezia | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | -14 | 40 | 1.38 | WDLDDW | 4.9/10 |
Avant d'aborder cette rencontre, Cosenza has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Cosenza has scored 12 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Cosenza has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Spezia's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Cosenza from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 3 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 3 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Cosenza as they have now gone 5 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
Cosenza is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Spezia, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 12 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Cosenza, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 18 matches (50% of all matches) involving Cosenza has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Cosenza will score today, as they have netted in the last 6 games coming into this one and have scored 12 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Spezia has picked up 6 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Spezia has scored 2 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Spezia has put together a good run of form and has now gone 3 games without defeat.
Spezia has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 3 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 10 occasions.
Spezia will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Cosenza, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 1 and drawn 3
Les choses ne vont pas si bien devant le but pour Spezia ces derniers temps, l'équipe n'ayant pas réussi à marquer lors de 3 de ses 5 derniers matchs. L'entraîneur changera-t-il sa tactique aujourd'hui, ou lancera-t-il un autre attaquant ?
Spezia has fired blanks in 17 games this season. That's 47% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 2 goals.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Spezia has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 1 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 17/36 games for Spezia this season.
Cosenza a fait match nul contre Spezia 2-2 en Serie B le dimanche 5 mai 2024 à 13:00 au Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla (Cosenza). xG du match : 1.4 pour Cosenza, 3.1 pour Spezia. Possession : 49% pour Cosenza, 51% pour Spezia. Tirs : 14 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Cosenza, 33 (dont 15 cadrés) pour Spezia. Indice de forme : Cosenza 7.2/10, Spezia 4.9/10. Sur 5 confrontations directes : 1 victoire Cosenza, 2 nuls, 2 victoires Spezia.
Score final : Cosenza 2-2 Spezia. L'algorithme avait prevu match nul (35%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.