SD Eibar vs SD Amorebieta - Liga 2 - Journee 38 - dimanche 5 mai 2024 à 12:00
Stade : Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa (Eibar)
Score final : SD Eibar 5-0 SD Amorebieta
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit SD Eibar favori avec 48% de chances de victoire (nul 28%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 2.5 pour SD Eibar, 1.5 pour SD Amorebieta. SD Eibar a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire SD Eibar ✓ | 48% | 1,46 | -20,0% |
| Match nul | 28% | 4,25 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire SD Amorebieta | 25% | 6,46 | +10,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga 2 :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| SD Eibar marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 82% | 1,11 | -8,0% |
| SD Amorebieta marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 69% | 1,80 | +13,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 56% | 2,10 | +8,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 44% | 1,67 | -16,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 78% | 1,28 | 0,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 54% | 1,93 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 32% | 3,22 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 46% | 1,78 | -10,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 68% | 1,28 | -10,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour SD Eibar vs SD Amorebieta :
| Statistique | SD Eibar | SD Amorebieta |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 2,45 | 1,54 |
| Buts marqués | 5 | 0 |
| Possession | 52% | 48% |
| Tirs | 21 | 20 |
| Tirs cadrés | 15 | 4 |
| Corners | 4 | 8 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 37 | 41 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SD Eibar | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | +18 | 61 | 1.46 | DWLWDL | 5.2/10 |
| SD Amorebieta | 37 | 9 | 11 | 17 | -13 | 38 | 1.13 | WDWWLD | 5.7/10 |
Coming into this game, SD Eibar has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. SD Eibar has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.
SD Eibar is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 3 games that they have played at home.
SD Amorebieta's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop SD Eibar from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 3 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 2 home matches this season.
Il est possible que nous voyions quelques buts ici, les 7 derniers matchs de SD Eibar s'étant terminés avec 2 buts ou plus inscrits.
In the last 5 matches for SD Eibar, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 21 matches (57% of all matches) involving SD Eibar has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that SD Eibar will score today, as they have netted in the last 7 games coming into this one and have scored 11 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, SD Amorebieta has picked up 8 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. SD Amorebieta has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from SD Amorebieta away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 6 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Scoring is not an issue for SD Amorebieta when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 5 games they have played on the road. Can SD Eibar stop this run?
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 6 games for SD Amorebieta ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
SD Amorebieta will be looking to keep up the momentum today against SD Eibar, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 2 and drawn 2
SD Amorebieta has fired blanks in 15 games this season. That's 41% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored an intriguing 8 goals.
In the last 5 matches for SD Amorebieta, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 16 matches (43% of all matches) involving SD Amorebieta has seen BTTS landing.
SD Eibar a battu SD Amorebieta 5-0 en Liga 2 le dimanche 5 mai 2024 à 12:00 au Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa (Eibar). xG du match : 2.5 pour SD Eibar, 1.5 pour SD Amorebieta. Possession : 52% pour SD Eibar, 48% pour SD Amorebieta. Tirs : 21 (dont 15 cadrés) pour SD Eibar, 20 (dont 4 cadrés) pour SD Amorebieta. Indice de forme : SD Eibar 5.2/10, SD Amorebieta 5.7/10. Sur 9 confrontations directes : 5 victoires SD Eibar, 2 nuls, 2 victoires SD Amorebieta.
Score final : SD Eibar 5-0 SD Amorebieta. L'algorithme avait prevu SD Eibar (48%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.