Albacete Balompié vs Leganés - Liga 2 - Journee 39 - dimanche 12 mai 2024 à 16:30
Stade : Estadio Carlos Belmonte (Albacete)
Score final : Albacete Balompié 1-0 Leganés
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Albacete Balompié favori avec 36% de chances de victoire (nul 34%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 0.9 pour Albacete Balompié, 1.7 pour Leganés. Leganés a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Albacete Balompié ✓ | 36% | 2,32 | -7,0% |
| Match nul | 34% | 3,14 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Leganés | 30% | 3,30 | 0,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga 2 :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete Balompié marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 70% | 1,38 | -2,0% |
| Leganés marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 67% | 1,50 | 0,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 47% | 2,10 | -1,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 53% | 1,65 | -8,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 67% | 1,47 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 41% | 2,50 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 20% | 4,80 | -1,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 59% | 1,47 | -9,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 80% | 1,13 | -8,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Albacete Balompié vs Leganés :
| Statistique | Albacete Balompié | Leganés |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 0,86 | 1,66 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 0 |
| Possession | 40% | 60% |
| Tirs | 10 | 17 |
| Tirs cadrés | 3 | 5 |
| Corners | 3 | 7 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 35 | 67 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete Balompié | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | -7 | 45 | 1.40 | WWWDDD | 7.3/10 |
| Leganés | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | +27 | 67 | 1.21 | DWLWDW | 5.2/10 |
Coming into this game, Albacete Balompié has picked up 12 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Albacete Balompié has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Albacete Balompié has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 4 games.
Leganés's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Albacete Balompié from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 7 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 2 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Albacete Balompié as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Albacete Balompié has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 3 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 9 occasions.
Albacete Balompié will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Leganés, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 4 and drawn 0
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Albacete Balompié has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 23/38 games for Albacete Balompié this season.
It's likely that Albacete Balompié will score today, as they have netted in the last 12 games coming into this one and have scored 6 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Leganés has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Leganés has scored 3 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Leganés away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 5 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Momentum is really building for Leganés as they have now gone 9 games without losing. They have won 1 of the last 5 games they have played.
Leganés has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 19 occasions.
Leganés is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Albacete Balompié, having won 1 and drawn 4. They have scored 3 goals in those 5 games.
Les choses n'ont pas été si faciles devant le but pour Leganés récemment, l'équipe n'ayant pas réussi à marquer lors de 3 de ses 5 derniers matchs. L'entraîneur changera-t-il ses tactiques aujourd'hui, ou lancera-t-il un autre attaquant ?
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Leganés has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 1 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 13/38 games for Leganés this season.
Albacete Balompié a battu Leganés 1-0 en Liga 2 le dimanche 12 mai 2024 à 16:30 au Estadio Carlos Belmonte (Albacete). xG du match : 0.9 pour Albacete Balompié, 1.7 pour Leganés. Possession : 40% pour Albacete Balompié, 60% pour Leganés. Tirs : 10 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Albacete Balompié, 17 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Leganés. Indice de forme : Albacete Balompié 7.3/10, Leganés 5.2/10. Sur 12 confrontations directes : 5 victoires Albacete Balompié, 2 nuls, 5 victoires Leganés.
Score final : Albacete Balompié 1-0 Leganés. L'algorithme avait prevu Albacete Balompié (36%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.