Millwall vs West Bromwich Albion - Championship - Journee 39 - vendredi 29 mars 2024 à 13:00
Stade : The Den (London)
Score final : Millwall 1-1 West Bromwich Albion
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit West Bromwich Albion favori avec 45% de chances de victoire (nul 30%). L'algorithme avait prévu West Bromwich Albion favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 0.8 pour Millwall, 0.9 pour West Bromwich Albion. West Bromwich Albion a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Millwall | 25% | 3,30 | -5,0% |
| Match nul ✓ | 30% | 3,00 | -3,0% |
| Victoire West Bromwich Albion | 45% | 2,38 | +3,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Championship :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 66% | 1,49 | -1,0% |
| West Bromwich Albion marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 78% | 1,37 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 51% | 2,10 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 49% | 1,67 | -11,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 73% | 1,47 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 48% | 2,60 | +10,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 26% | 5,00 | +6,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 52% | 1,50 | -15,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 74% | 1,18 | -11,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Millwall vs West Bromwich Albion :
| Statistique | Millwall | West Bromwich Albion |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 0,79 | 0,89 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 1 |
| Possession | 32% | 68% |
| Tirs | 10 | 7 |
| Tirs cadrés | 3 | 3 |
| Corners | 6 | 4 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 26 | 56 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | -14 | 43 | 1.18 | LWWWWW | 4.8/10 |
| West Bromwich Albion | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | +23 | 66 | 1.24 | WDWDWW | 8.6/10 |
Coming into this game, Millwall has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Millwall has scored 5 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Millwall will be looking to keep up the momentum today against West Bromwich Albion, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Millwall has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 15/38 games for Millwall this season.
Coming into this game, West Bromwich Albion has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. West Bromwich Albion has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from West Bromwich Albion away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 5 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Scoring is not an issue for West Bromwich Albion when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 5 games they have played on the road. Can Millwall stop this run?
Momentum is really building for West Bromwich Albion as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 9 games for West Bromwich Albion ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
West Bromwich Albion is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Millwall, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 11 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for West Bromwich Albion, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 18 matches (47% of all matches) involving West Bromwich Albion has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that West Bromwich Albion will score today, as they have netted in the last 6 games coming into this one and have scored 11 goals in the last five games.
Millwall a fait match nul contre West Bromwich Albion 1-1 en Championship le vendredi 29 mars 2024 à 13:00 au The Den (London). xG du match : 0.8 pour Millwall, 0.9 pour West Bromwich Albion. Possession : 32% pour Millwall, 68% pour West Bromwich Albion. Tirs : 10 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Millwall, 7 (dont 3 cadrés) pour West Bromwich Albion. Indice de forme : Millwall 4.8/10, West Bromwich Albion 8.6/10. Sur 10 confrontations directes : 4 victoires Millwall, 4 nuls, 2 victoires West Bromwich Albion.
Score final : Millwall 1-1 West Bromwich Albion. L'algorithme avait prevu West Bromwich Albion (45%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.