Norwich City vs Plymouth Argyle - Championship - Journee 39 - vendredi 29 mars 2024 à 15:00
Stade : Carrow Road (Norwich, Norfolk)
Score final : Norwich City 2-1 Plymouth Argyle
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Norwich City favori avec 61% de chances de victoire (nul 23%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.6 pour Norwich City, 1.1 pour Plymouth Argyle. Norwich City a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Norwich City ✓ | 61% | 1,50 | -6,0% |
| Match nul | 23% | 4,40 | 0,0% |
| Victoire Plymouth Argyle | 17% | 6,00 | 0,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Championship :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich City marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 86% | 1,09 | -6,0% |
| Plymouth Argyle marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 59% | 1,52 | -7,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 51% | 1,73 | -7,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 49% | 2,00 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 78% | 1,19 | -6,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 54% | 1,57 | -10,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 32% | 2,40 | -10,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 46% | 2,30 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 68% | 1,57 | +4,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Norwich City vs Plymouth Argyle :
| Statistique | Norwich City | Plymouth Argyle |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,62 | 1,08 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 1 |
| Possession | 65% | 35% |
| Tirs | 24 | 10 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 5 |
| Corners | 13 | 3 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 53 | 31 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich City | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | +15 | 61 | 1.38 | WDDLDL | 8/10 |
| Plymouth Argyle | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | -8 | 41 | 1.34 | LWLLDL | 1.4/10 |
Coming into this game, Norwich City has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Norwich City has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Norwich City is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 6 games that they have played at home.
Superb stuff from Norwich City at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 11 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Plymouth Argyle's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Norwich City from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 9 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 2 home matches this season.
Norwich City a enchaîné une bonne série de résultats et reste sur 2 matchs sans défaite.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 3 games involving Norwich City has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Plymouth Argyle get in on the action today? There has been a total of 15 goals in the last 5 games for Norwich City, both home and away.
Norwich City has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 4 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 10 occasions.
Norwich City will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Plymouth Argyle, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Norwich City has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 24/38 games for Norwich City this season.
It's likely that Norwich City will score today, as they have netted in the last 9 games coming into this one and have scored 11 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Plymouth Argyle has picked up 4 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Plymouth Argyle has scored 3 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Plymouth Argyle recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Plymouth Argyle has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 1 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 22/38 games for Plymouth Argyle this season.
Norwich City a battu Plymouth Argyle 2-1 en Championship le vendredi 29 mars 2024 à 15:00 au Carrow Road (Norwich, Norfolk). xG du match : 1.6 pour Norwich City, 1.1 pour Plymouth Argyle. Possession : 65% pour Norwich City, 35% pour Plymouth Argyle. Tirs : 24 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Norwich City, 10 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Plymouth Argyle. Indice de forme : Norwich City 8/10, Plymouth Argyle 1.4/10. Sur 3 confrontations directes : 2 victoires Norwich City, 0 nul, 1 victoire Plymouth Argyle.
Score final : Norwich City 2-1 Plymouth Argyle. L'algorithme avait prevu Norwich City (61%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.