Birmingham City vs Preston North End - Championship - Journee 40 - lundi 1 avril 2024 à 14:00
Stade : St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park (Birmingham)
Score final : Birmingham City 1-0 Preston North End
L'algorithme Pronalgo avait estimé ce match très équilibré (34% / 35% / 32%). L'algorithme avait prévu un match équilibré, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.1 pour Birmingham City, 0.7 pour Preston North End. Birmingham City a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Birmingham City ✓ | 34% | 2,40 | -8,0% |
| Match nul | 35% | 3,30 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Preston North End | 32% | 2,88 | -3,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Championship :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham City marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 69% | 1,25 | -11,0% |
| Preston North End marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 68% | 1,33 | -7,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 47% | 1,73 | -11,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 53% | 2,00 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 67% | 1,30 | -10,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 41% | 2,00 | -9,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 20% | 3,40 | -9,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 59% | 1,70 | 0,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 80% | 1,33 | +5,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Birmingham City vs Preston North End :
| Statistique | Birmingham City | Preston North End |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,15 | 0,69 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 0 |
| Possession | 54% | 46% |
| Tirs | 12 | 5 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 2 |
| Corners | 0 | 0 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 31 | 39 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham City | 39 | 10 | 9 | 20 | -18 | 39 | 1.30 | LLWDDW | 0/10 |
| Preston North End | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | -2 | 59 | 1.11 | DWDLWW | 6.7/10 |
Coming into this game, Birmingham City has picked up 1 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Birmingham City has scored 4 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Can Birmingham City turn this around? They have not won in the last 5 games coming into this, with 1 draws and 4 defeats.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Birmingham City recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Birmingham City has fired blanks in 14 games this season. That's 37% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 4 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Birmingham City has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 0 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 20/38 games for Birmingham City this season.
Birmingham City will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 3 matches. During the last five games they have scored 4 times and overall this season they have scored 1.11 goals per game.
Coming into this game, Preston North End has picked up 8 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Preston North End has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Preston North End has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 4 games.
Scoring is not an issue for Preston North End when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 5 games they have played on the road. Can Birmingham City stop this run?
Preston North End has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 4 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 8 occasions.
Preston North End will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Birmingham City, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 2 and drawn 2
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Preston North End has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 22/37 games for Preston North End this season.
Birmingham City a battu Preston North End 1-0 en Championship le lundi 1 avril 2024 à 14:00 au St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park (Birmingham). xG du match : 1.1 pour Birmingham City, 0.7 pour Preston North End. Possession : 54% pour Birmingham City, 46% pour Preston North End. Tirs : 12 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Birmingham City, 5 (dont 2 cadrés) pour Preston North End. Indice de forme : Birmingham City 0/10, Preston North End 6.7/10. Sur 19 confrontations directes : 3 victoires Birmingham City, 6 nuls, 10 victoires Preston North End.
Score final : Birmingham City 1-0 Preston North End. L'algorithme avait prevu match nul (35%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.