Ipswich Town vs Southampton - Championship - Journee 40 - lundi 1 avril 2024 à 16:30
Stade : Portman Road (Ipswich, Suffolk)
Score final : Ipswich Town 3-2 Southampton
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Ipswich Town favori avec 38% de chances de victoire (nul 30%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.4 pour Ipswich Town, 2.1 pour Southampton. Southampton a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Ipswich Town ✓ | 38% | 2,50 | -2,0% |
| Match nul | 30% | 3,45 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Southampton | 32% | 2,67 | -5,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Championship :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich Town marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 79% | 1,20 | -4,0% |
| Southampton marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 75% | 1,20 | -8,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 59% | 1,62 | -3,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 41% | 2,20 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 79% | 1,19 | -5,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 56% | 1,54 | -9,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 34% | 2,30 | -9,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 44% | 2,38 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 66% | 1,55 | +1,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Ipswich Town vs Southampton :
| Statistique | Ipswich Town | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,41 | 2,14 |
| Buts marqués | 3 | 2 |
| Possession | 35% | 65% |
| Tirs | 14 | 20 |
| Tirs cadrés | 7 | 10 |
| Corners | 0 | 7 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 32 | 59 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich Town | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | +32 | 84 | 1.57 | WWLWWW | 8.5/10 |
| Southampton | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | +26 | 74 | 1.72 | LLWWDW | 5.4/10 |
Coming into this game, Ipswich Town has picked up 12 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Ipswich Town has scored 15 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Ipswich Town is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 4 games that they have played at home.
Superb stuff from Ipswich Town at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 17 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Southampton's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Ipswich Town from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 6 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 12 games for Ipswich Town ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Ipswich Town will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Southampton, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 4 and drawn 0
In the last 5 matches for Ipswich Town, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 24 matches (63% of all matches) involving Ipswich Town has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Ipswich Town will score today, as they have netted in the last 12 games coming into this one and have scored 15 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Southampton has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Southampton has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Southampton a aimé jouer à l'extérieur récemment, l'équipe étant actuellement sur une série de 2 matchs sans défaite.
Scoring is not an issue for Southampton when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 15 games they have played on the road. Can Ipswich Town stop this run?
Southampton a enchaîné une bonne série de forme et reste sur 3 matchs sans défaite.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 14 games for Southampton ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
The last 5 games for Southampton has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Southampton has seen a total of 25/37 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 68% of all matches played.
It's likely that Southampton will score today, as they have netted in the last 30 games coming into this one and have scored 11 goals in the last five games.
Ipswich Town a battu Southampton 3-2 en Championship le lundi 1 avril 2024 à 16:30 au Portman Road (Ipswich, Suffolk). xG du match : 1.4 pour Ipswich Town, 2.1 pour Southampton. Possession : 35% pour Ipswich Town, 65% pour Southampton. Tirs : 14 (dont 7 cadrés) pour Ipswich Town, 20 (dont 10 cadrés) pour Southampton. Indice de forme : Ipswich Town 8.5/10, Southampton 5.4/10. Sur 7 confrontations directes : 1 victoire Ipswich Town, 3 nuls, 3 victoires Southampton.
Score final : Ipswich Town 3-2 Southampton. L'algorithme avait prevu Ipswich Town (38%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.