Villarreal II vs Albacete Balompié - Liga 2 - Journee 40 - lundi 20 mai 2024 à 18:30
Stade : Estadio de la Cerámica (Villarreal)
Score final : Villarreal II 2-2 Albacete Balompié
L'algorithme Pronalgo avait estimé ce match très équilibré (34% / 34% / 33%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 2.8 pour Villarreal II, 1.4 pour Albacete Balompié. Villarreal II a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Villarreal II | 34% | 2,75 | -2,0% |
| Match nul ✓ | 34% | 3,10 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Albacete Balompié | 33% | 2,38 | -9,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga 2 :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal II marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 72% | 1,22 | -10,0% |
| Albacete Balompié marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 71% | 1,33 | -4,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 51% | 1,67 | -9,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 49% | 2,05 | 0,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 71% | 1,28 | -7,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 45% | 1,78 | -11,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 24% | 3,10 | -8,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 55% | 1,82 | 0,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 76% | 1,35 | +2,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Villarreal II vs Albacete Balompié :
| Statistique | Villarreal II | Albacete Balompié |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 2,76 | 1,39 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 2 |
| Possession | 54% | 46% |
| Tirs | 33 | 9 |
| Tirs cadrés | 7 | 8 |
| Corners | 8 | 1 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 89 | 36 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal II | 39 | 10 | 9 | 20 | -21 | 39 | 1.27 | WLWWLL | 4.1/10 |
| Albacete Balompié | 39 | 12 | 12 | 15 | -6 | 48 | 1.38 | WWWDDD | 8.1/10 |
Coming into this game, Villarreal II has picked up 6 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 0 of those games. Villarreal II has scored 4 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Villarreal II recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Villarreal II has fired blanks in 16 games this season. That's 41% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 4 goals.
Just 0 of the last 5 games for Villarreal II has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 17/39 games for Villarreal II this season.
Villarreal II will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 2 matches. During the last five games they have scored 4 times and overall this season they have scored 0.92 goals per game.
Coming into this game, Albacete Balompié has picked up 15 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 3 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Albacete Balompié has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Albacete Balompié a récemment apprécié ses déplacements, l'équipe étant actuellement sur une série de 2 matchs sans défaite à l'extérieur.
Scoring is not an issue for Albacete Balompié when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 6 games they have played on the road. Can Villarreal II stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Albacete Balompié as they have now gone 5 games without losing. They have won 5 of the last 5 games they have played.
Albacete Balompié has kept 4 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 1 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 10 occasions.
Albacete Balompié is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Villarreal II, having won 5 and drawn 0. They have scored 6 goals in those 5 games.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Albacete Balompié has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 5 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 23/39 games for Albacete Balompié this season.
It's likely that Albacete Balompié will score today, as they have netted in the last 13 games coming into this one and have scored 6 goals in the last five games.
Villarreal II a fait match nul contre Albacete Balompié 2-2 en Liga 2 le lundi 20 mai 2024 à 18:30 au Estadio de la Cerámica (Villarreal). xG du match : 2.8 pour Villarreal II, 1.4 pour Albacete Balompié. Possession : 54% pour Villarreal II, 46% pour Albacete Balompié. Tirs : 33 (dont 7 cadrés) pour Villarreal II, 9 (dont 8 cadrés) pour Albacete Balompié. Indice de forme : Villarreal II 4.1/10, Albacete Balompié 8.1/10. Sur 9 confrontations directes : 3 victoires Villarreal II, 3 nuls, 3 victoires Albacete Balompié.
Score final : Villarreal II 2-2 Albacete Balompié. L'algorithme avait prevu match nul (34%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.