Celje vs Lugano - Conference League - jeudi 6 mars 2025 à 20:00
Score final : Celje 1-0 Lugano
L'algorithme Pronalgo avait estimé ce match très équilibré (33% / 33% / 33%). L'algorithme avait prévu un match équilibré, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 0.9 pour Celje, 1.9 pour Lugano. Lugano a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Celje ✓ | 33% | 2,63 | -5,0% |
| Match nul | 33% | 3,50 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Lugano | 33% | 2,45 | -8,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Conference League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celje marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 72% | 1,22 | -10,0% |
| Lugano marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 72% | 1,20 | -11,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 51% | 1,53 | -14,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 49% | 2,50 | +9,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 72% | 1,19 | -12,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 46% | 1,62 | -16,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 25% | 2,60 | -13,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 54% | 2,25 | +10,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 75% | 1,50 | +8,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Celje vs Lugano :
| Statistique | Celje | Lugano |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 0,9 | 1,85 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 0 |
| Possession | 46% | 54% |
| Tirs | 6 | 17 |
| Tirs cadrés | 3 | 6 |
| Corners | 6 | 5 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 41 | 50 |
Coming into this game, Celje has picked up 8 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Celje has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Celje at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 5 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Celje will be confident of scoring today and will look to keep up their record of scoring in every single home game this season.
Celje has had no trouble finding the back of the net recently and has scored in the last 5 home games. They have failed to find the net in 0 home game this season.
Celje has put together a good run of form and has now gone 3 games without defeat.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 9 games for Celje ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Celje will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Lugano, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 2 and drawn 2
In the last 5 matches for Celje, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 7 matches (70% of all matches) involving Celje has seen BTTS landing.
Coming into this game, Lugano has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Lugano has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Lugano has put together a good run of form and has now gone 3 games without defeat.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 4 games for Lugano ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Lugano will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Celje, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
In the last 5 matches for Lugano, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 3 matches (50% of all matches) involving Lugano has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Lugano will score today, as they have netted in the last 6 games coming into this one and have scored 8 goals in the last five games.
Celje a battu Lugano 1-0 en Conference League le jeudi 6 mars 2025 à 20:00. xG du match : 0.9 pour Celje, 1.9 pour Lugano. Possession : 46% pour Celje, 54% pour Lugano. Tirs : 6 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Celje, 17 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Lugano. Indice de forme : Celje 4.3/10, Lugano 7.2/10.
Score final : Celje 1-0 Lugano. L'algorithme avait prevu match nul (33%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.