Luxembourg vs Malte - Ligue des Nations - mardi 31 mars 2026 à 16:00
Score final : Luxembourg 3-0 Malte
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Luxembourg favori avec 56% de chances de victoire (nul 25%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.5 pour Luxembourg, 1.4 pour Malte. Luxembourg a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Luxembourg ✓ | 56% | - | - |
| Match nul | 25% | - | - |
| Victoire Malte | 20% | - | - |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Ligue des Nations :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luxembourg marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 85% | 1,18 | 0,0% |
| Malte marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 64% | 1,70 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 54% | 2,03 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 46% | 1,73 | -12,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 79% | 1,33 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 55% | 2,23 | +10,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 33% | 3,95 | +8,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 45% | 1,67 | -15,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 67% | 1,22 | -15,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Luxembourg vs Malte :
| Statistique | Luxembourg | Malte |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,54 | 1,44 |
| Buts marqués | 3 | 0 |
| Possession | 63% | 37% |
| Tirs | 13 | 13 |
| Tirs cadrés | 6 | 5 |
| Corners | 3 | 6 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 40 | 37 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luxembourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 0.93 | W | 3.3/10 |
| Malte | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 0.90 | L | 3.2/10 |
Coming into this game, Luxembourg has picked up 6 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Luxembourg has scored 5 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Luxembourg has put together a good run of form and has now gone 2 games without defeat.
Luxembourg will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Malta, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 1 and drawn 3
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Luxembourg recently, with the side failing to score in 2 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Luxembourg has fired blanks in 4 games this season. That's 57% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 5 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Luxembourg has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 1 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 2/7 games for Luxembourg this season.
Coming into this game, Malta has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 0 of those games. Malta has scored 2 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Malta has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 4 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 3 occasions.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Malta recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Malta has fired blanks in 3 games this season. That's 60% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 2 goals.
Just 0 of the last 5 games for Malta has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 0/5 games for Malta this season.
Malta will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 2 matches. During the last five games they have scored 2 times and overall this season they have scored 0.4 goals per game.
Luxembourg a battu Malte 3-0 en Ligue des Nations le mardi 31 mars 2026 à 16:00. xG du match : 1.5 pour Luxembourg, 1.4 pour Malte. Possession : 63% pour Luxembourg, 37% pour Malte. Tirs : 13 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Luxembourg, 13 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Malte. Indice de forme : Luxembourg 3.3/10, Malte 3.2/10. Sur 3 confrontations directes : 2 victoires Luxembourg, 0 nul, 1 victoire Malte.
Score final : Luxembourg 3-0 Malte. L'algorithme avait prevu Luxembourg (56%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.