Molde vs Legia Warszawa - Conference League - jeudi 6 mars 2025 à 17:45
Stade : Aker Stadion
Score final : Molde 3-2 Legia Warszawa
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Molde favori avec 41% de chances de victoire (nul 32%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.4 pour Molde, 1.9 pour Legia Warszawa. Legia Warszawa a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Molde ✓ | 41% | 2,05 | -8,0% |
| Match nul | 32% | 3,45 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Legia Warszawa | 27% | 3,40 | -2,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Conference League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Molde marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 74% | 1,18 | -11,0% |
| Legia Warszawa marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 65% | 1,33 | -10,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 48% | 1,62 | -14,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 52% | 2,20 | +7,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 69% | 1,25 | -11,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 43% | 1,72 | -15,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 22% | 2,85 | -13,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 57% | 2,05 | +8,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 78% | 1,42 | +8,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Molde vs Legia Warszawa :
| Statistique | Molde | Legia Warszawa |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,36 | 1,95 |
| Buts marqués | 3 | 2 |
| Possession | 56% | 44% |
| Tirs | 11 | 16 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 6 |
| Corners | 2 | 10 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 43 | 73 |
Coming into this game, Molde has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Molde has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Molde recently, with the side failing to score in 2 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Molde has fired blanks in 3 games this season. That's 38% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 7 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Molde has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 3/8 games for Molde this season.
Coming into this game, Legia Warszawa has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Legia Warszawa has scored 12 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Scoring is not an issue for Legia Warszawa when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 6 games they have played on the road. Can Molde stop this run?
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 5 games involving Legia Warszawa has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Molde get in on the action today? There has been a total of 17 goals in the last 5 games for Legia Warszawa, both home and away.
Legia Warszawa has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 5 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 8 occasions.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Legia Warszawa has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 4/12 games for Legia Warszawa this season.
It's likely that Legia Warszawa will score today, as they have netted in the last 12 games coming into this one and have scored 12 goals in the last five games.
Molde a battu Legia Warszawa 3-2 en Conference League le jeudi 6 mars 2025 à 17:45 au Aker Stadion. xG du match : 1.4 pour Molde, 1.9 pour Legia Warszawa. Possession : 56% pour Molde, 44% pour Legia Warszawa. Tirs : 11 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Molde, 16 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Legia Warszawa. Indice de forme : Molde 3.2/10, Legia Warszawa 5.6/10. Sur 4 confrontations directes : 2 victoires Molde, 2 nuls, 0 victoire Legia Warszawa.
Score final : Molde 3-2 Legia Warszawa. L'algorithme avait prevu Molde (41%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.