Real Betis vs Vitória Guimarães - Conference League - jeudi 6 mars 2025 à 17:45
Stade : Estadio Benito Villamarín
Score final : Real Betis 2-2 Vitória Guimarães
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Real Betis favori avec 51% de chances de victoire (nul 27%). L'algorithme avait prévu Real Betis favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.8 pour Real Betis, 0.9 pour Vitória Guimarães. Real Betis a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Real Betis | 51% | 1,56 | -13,0% |
| Match nul ✓ | 27% | 3,60 | -1,0% |
| Victoire Vitória Guimarães | 22% | 5,25 | +3,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Conference League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 82% | 1,18 | -3,0% |
| Vitória Guimarães marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 66% | 1,73 | +8,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 54% | 2,10 | +6,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 46% | 1,66 | -14,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 77% | 1,40 | +6,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 53% | 2,10 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 31% | 4,20 | +7,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 47% | 1,70 | -12,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 69% | 1,20 | -14,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Real Betis vs Vitória Guimarães :
| Statistique | Real Betis | Vitória Guimarães |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,81 | 0,88 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 2 |
| Possession | 47% | 53% |
| Tirs | 14 | 8 |
| Tirs cadrés | 8 | 2 |
| Corners | 7 | 2 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 51 | 31 |
Coming into this game, Real Betis has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Real Betis has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Real Betis has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 3 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 5 occasions.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Real Betis has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 3/10 games for Real Betis this season.
Coming into this game, Vitória Guimarães has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Vitória Guimarães has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Vitória Guimarães away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 6 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Scoring is not an issue for Vitória Guimarães when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 6 games they have played on the road. Can Real Betis stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Vitória Guimarães as they have now gone 12 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 11 games for Vitória Guimarães ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Vitória Guimarães is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Real Betis, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 10 goals in those 5 games.
The last 5 games for Vitória Guimarães has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Vitória Guimarães has seen a total of 6/12 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 50% of all matches played.
It's likely that Vitória Guimarães will score today, as they have netted in the last 12 games coming into this one and have scored 10 goals in the last five games.
Real Betis a fait match nul contre Vitória Guimarães 2-2 en Conference League le jeudi 6 mars 2025 à 17:45 au Estadio Benito Villamarín. xG du match : 1.8 pour Real Betis, 0.9 pour Vitória Guimarães. Possession : 47% pour Real Betis, 53% pour Vitória Guimarães. Tirs : 14 (dont 8 cadrés) pour Real Betis, 8 (dont 2 cadrés) pour Vitória Guimarães. Indice de forme : Real Betis 6.2/10, Vitória Guimarães 7.7/10. Sur 2 confrontations directes : 2 victoires Real Betis, 0 nul, 0 victoire Vitória Guimarães.
Score final : Real Betis 2-2 Vitória Guimarães. L'algorithme avait prevu Real Betis (51%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.