St. Gallen vs Vitória Guimarães - Conference League - Journee 5 - jeudi 12 décembre 2024 à 20:00
Stade : Kybunpark
Score final : St. Gallen 1-4 Vitória Guimarães
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Vitória Guimarães favori avec 47% de chances de victoire (nul 27%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.1 pour St. Gallen, 3.1 pour Vitória Guimarães. Vitória Guimarães a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire St. Gallen | 27% | 3,40 | -2,0% |
| Match nul | 27% | 3,50 | -2,0% |
| Victoire Vitória Guimarães ✓ | 47% | 2,10 | -1,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Conference League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Gallen marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 72% | 1,28 | -6,0% |
| Vitória Guimarães marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 83% | 1,22 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 60% | 1,62 | -2,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 40% | 2,20 | -5,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 81% | 1,19 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 59% | 1,80 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 36% | 2,73 | -1,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 41% | 2,00 | -9,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 64% | 1,34 | -11,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour St. Gallen vs Vitória Guimarães :
| Statistique | St. Gallen | Vitória Guimarães |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,13 | 3,13 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 4 |
| Possession | 48% | 52% |
| Tirs | 7 | 27 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 16 |
| Corners | 2 | 8 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 56 | 43 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Gallen | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 4 | 1.46 | LLWD | 2.9/10 |
| Vitória Guimarães | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 10 | 2.01 | DLWWWD | 9/10 |
Coming into this game, St. Gallen has picked up 5 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. St. Gallen has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
St. Gallen has put together a good run of form and has now gone 2 games without defeat.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 5 games for St. Gallen ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
The last 5 games for St. Gallen has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season St. Gallen has seen a total of 7/10 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 70% of all matches played.
It's likely that St. Gallen will score today, as they have netted in the last 5 games coming into this one and have scored 9 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Vitória Guimarães has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Vitória Guimarães has scored 12 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Vitória Guimarães away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 5 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Scoring is not an issue for Vitória Guimarães when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 5 games they have played on the road. Can St. Gallen stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Vitória Guimarães as they have now gone 10 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 9 games for Vitória Guimarães ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Vitória Guimarães is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against St. Gallen, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 12 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Vitória Guimarães, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 4 matches (40% of all matches) involving Vitória Guimarães has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Vitória Guimarães will score today, as they have netted in the last 10 games coming into this one and have scored 12 goals in the last five games.
St. Gallen a perdu contre Vitória Guimarães 1-4 en Conference League le jeudi 12 décembre 2024 à 20:00 au Kybunpark. xG du match : 1.1 pour St. Gallen, 3.1 pour Vitória Guimarães. Possession : 48% pour St. Gallen, 52% pour Vitória Guimarães. Tirs : 7 (dont 4 cadrés) pour St. Gallen, 27 (dont 16 cadrés) pour Vitória Guimarães. Indice de forme : St. Gallen 2.9/10, Vitória Guimarães 9/10.
Score final : St. Gallen 1-4 Vitória Guimarães. L'algorithme avait prevu Vitória Guimarães (47%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.