Celje vs The New Saints - Conference League - Journee 6 - jeudi 19 décembre 2024 à 20:00
Score final : Celje 3-2 The New Saints
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Celje favori avec 68% de chances de victoire (nul 20%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 2.4 pour Celje, 0.7 pour The New Saints. Celje a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Celje ✓ | 68% | 1,33 | -7,0% |
| Match nul | 20% | 5,50 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire The New Saints | 12% | 7,00 | -2,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Conference League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celje marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 89% | 1,04 | -7,0% |
| The New Saints marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 55% | 1,65 | -6,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 49% | 1,67 | -11,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 51% | 2,10 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 80% | 1,17 | -5,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 57% | 1,40 | -14,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 35% | 2,30 | -8,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 43% | 2,88 | +8,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 65% | 1,60 | +3,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Celje vs The New Saints :
| Statistique | Celje | The New Saints |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 2,43 | 0,71 |
| Buts marqués | 3 | 2 |
| Possession | 67% | 33% |
| Tirs | 18 | 6 |
| Tirs cadrés | 11 | 2 |
| Corners | 8 | 5 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 73 | 26 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celje | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 4 | 1.19 | WLWLDL | 3.7/10 |
| The New Saints | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 3 | 1.10 | LWLLL | 1.1/10 |
Coming into this game, Celje has picked up 4 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Celje has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Celje has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 3 games.
Celje will be confident of scoring today and will look to keep up their record of scoring in every single home game this season.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 6 games for Celje ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
In the last 5 matches for Celje, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 5 matches (71% of all matches) involving Celje has seen BTTS landing.
Coming into this game, The New Saints has picked up 3 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. The New Saints has scored 3 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for The New Saints recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
The New Saints has fired blanks in 4 games this season. That's 57% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 3 goals.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for The New Saints has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 1 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 1/7 games for The New Saints this season.
The New Saints will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 2 matches. During the last five games they have scored 3 times and overall this season they have scored 0.86 goals per game.
Celje a battu The New Saints 3-2 en Conference League le jeudi 19 décembre 2024 à 20:00. xG du match : 2.4 pour Celje, 0.7 pour The New Saints. Possession : 67% pour Celje, 33% pour The New Saints. Tirs : 18 (dont 11 cadrés) pour Celje, 6 (dont 2 cadrés) pour The New Saints. Indice de forme : Celje 3.7/10, The New Saints 1.1/10.
Score final : Celje 3-2 The New Saints. L'algorithme avait prevu Celje (68%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.