Hartberg vs Wattens - Bundesliga autrichienne - Journee 6 - jeudi 26 septembre 2024 à 16:30
Stade : PROfertil ARENA (Hartberg)
Score final : Hartberg 1-0 Wattens
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Hartberg favori avec 44% de chances de victoire (nul 30%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.0 pour Hartberg, 0.8 pour Wattens. Hartberg a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Hartberg ✓ | 44% | 1,61 | -18,0% |
| Match nul | 30% | 3,75 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Wattens | 25% | 4,33 | +2,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Bundesliga autrichienne :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hartberg marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 78% | 1,13 | -10,0% |
| Wattens marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 67% | 1,38 | -5,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 52% | 1,67 | -8,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 48% | 2,10 | 0,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 74% | 1,19 | -10,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 49% | 1,60 | -13,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 27% | 2,61 | -11,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 51% | 2,20 | +6,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 73% | 1,41 | +2,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Hartberg vs Wattens :
| Statistique | Hartberg | Wattens |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 0,98 | 0,82 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 0 |
| Possession | 55% | 45% |
| Tirs | 8 | 6 |
| Tirs cadrés | 2 | 3 |
| Corners | 5 | 4 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 45 | 31 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hartberg | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 3 | 1.02 | LLDDD | 1.5/10 |
| Wattens | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 | 0.91 | WDLLLD | 1.8/10 |
Coming into this game, Hartberg has picked up 3 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Hartberg has scored 5 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Hartberg has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Hartberg will be confident of scoring today and will look to keep up their record of scoring in every single home game this season.
Hartberg has put together a good run of form and has now gone 3 games without defeat.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 5 games for Hartberg ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Can Hartberg turn this around? They have not won in the last 5 games coming into this, with 3 draws and 2 defeats.
In the last 5 matches for Hartberg, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 4 matches (80% of all matches) involving Hartberg has seen BTTS landing.
Coming into this game, Wattens has picked up 2 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Wattens has scored 2 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Can Wattens turn this around? They have not won in the last 5 games coming into this, with 2 draws and 3 defeats.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Wattens recently, with the side failing to score in 4 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Wattens has fired blanks in 4 games this season. That's 67% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 2 goals.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Wattens has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 0 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 2/6 games for Wattens this season.
Hartberg a battu Wattens 1-0 en Bundesliga autrichienne le jeudi 26 septembre 2024 à 16:30 au PROfertil ARENA (Hartberg). xG du match : 1.0 pour Hartberg, 0.8 pour Wattens. Possession : 55% pour Hartberg, 45% pour Wattens. Tirs : 8 (dont 2 cadrés) pour Hartberg, 6 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Wattens. Indice de forme : Hartberg 1.5/10, Wattens 1.8/10. Sur 18 confrontations directes : 8 victoires Hartberg, 3 nuls, 7 victoires Wattens.
Score final : Hartberg 1-0 Wattens. L'algorithme avait prevu Hartberg (44%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.