Arsenal vs Southampton - Premier League - Journee 7 - samedi 5 octobre 2024 à 14:00
Stade : Emirates Stadium (London)
Score final : Arsenal 3-1 Southampton
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Arsenal favori avec 74% de chances de victoire (nul 16%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 2.5 pour Arsenal, 0.6 pour Southampton. Arsenal a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Arsenal ✓ | 74% | 1,17 | -11,0% |
| Match nul | 16% | 8,00 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Southampton | 10% | 17,00 | +4,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Premier League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 93% | 1,02 | -5,0% |
| Southampton marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 58% | 2,10 | +10,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 54% | 2,10 | +6,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 46% | 1,67 | -14,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 86% | 1,06 | -8,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 67% | 1,35 | -7,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 46% | 2,08 | -2,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 33% | 3,04 | 0,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 54% | 1,73 | -4,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Arsenal vs Southampton :
| Statistique | Arsenal | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 2,51 | 0,58 |
| Buts marqués | 3 | 1 |
| Possession | 59% | 41% |
| Tirs | 20 | 4 |
| Tirs cadrés | 7 | 3 |
| Corners | 13 | 1 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 106 | 16 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 14 | 1.59 | WWDWDW | 7.7/10 |
| Southampton | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 1 | 1.06 | LLLLDL | 0/10 |
Coming into this game, Arsenal has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Arsenal has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Arsenal has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 3 games.
Arsenal sera confiant à l'idée de marquer aujourd'hui et cherchera à maintenir sa série en marquant lors de chaque match à domicile cette saison.
Momentum is really building for Arsenal as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
Arsenal is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Southampton, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 10 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Arsenal, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 3 matches (50% of all matches) involving Arsenal has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Arsenal will score today, as they have netted in the last 6 games coming into this one and have scored 10 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Southampton has picked up 1 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Southampton has scored 3 times in the last 5 fixtures.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 4 games for Southampton ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Can Southampton turn this around? They have not won in the last 5 games coming into this, with 1 draws and 4 defeats.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Southampton recently, with the side failing to score in 2 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Southampton has fired blanks in 3 games this season. That's 50% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored an intriguing 3 goals.
In the last 5 matches for Southampton, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 3 matches (50% of all matches) involving Southampton has seen BTTS landing.
Arsenal a battu Southampton 3-1 en Premier League le samedi 5 octobre 2024 à 14:00 au Emirates Stadium (London). xG du match : 2.5 pour Arsenal, 0.6 pour Southampton. Possession : 59% pour Arsenal, 41% pour Southampton. Tirs : 20 (dont 7 cadrés) pour Arsenal, 4 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Southampton. Indice de forme : Arsenal 7.7/10, Southampton 0/10. Sur 26 confrontations directes : 11 victoires Arsenal, 8 nuls, 7 victoires Southampton.
Score final : Arsenal 3-1 Southampton. L'algorithme avait prevu Arsenal (74%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.