Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe - Süper Lig - Journee 9 - dimanche 20 octobre 2024 à 16:00
Stade : Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu (Samsun)
Score final : Samsunspor 2-2 Fenerbahçe
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Fenerbahçe favori avec 48% de chances de victoire (nul 28%). L'algorithme avait prévu Fenerbahçe favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 0.8 pour Samsunspor, 0.7 pour Fenerbahçe. Samsunspor a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Samsunspor | 24% | 4,00 | -1,0% |
| Match nul ✓ | 28% | 3,40 | -1,0% |
| Victoire Fenerbahçe | 48% | 1,73 | -10,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Süper Lig :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 67% | 1,53 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Fenerbahçe marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 81% | 1,17 | -4,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 54% | 1,83 | -1,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 46% | 1,83 | -9,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 76% | 1,31 | 0,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 52% | 1,91 | 0,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 30% | 3,61 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 48% | 1,80 | -8,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 70% | 1,27 | -9,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe :
| Statistique | Samsunspor | Fenerbahçe |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 0,83 | 0,72 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 2 |
| Possession | 57% | 43% |
| Tirs | 7 | 5 |
| Tirs cadrés | 1 | 2 |
| Corners | 4 | 2 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 0 | 0 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 18 | 1.27 | WLWWWW | 8.3/10 |
| Fenerbahçe | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +11 | 16 | 1.53 | DWWWLW | 7.4/10 |
Coming into this game, Samsunspor has picked up 12 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Samsunspor has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Momentum is really building for Samsunspor as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Samsunspor will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Fenerbahçe, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 4 and drawn 0
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Samsunspor has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 2/8 games for Samsunspor this season.
It's likely that Samsunspor will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 10 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Fenerbahçe has picked up 12 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Fenerbahçe has scored 13 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Fenerbahçe has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 4 games.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 6 games for Fenerbahçe ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Fenerbahçe has kept 4 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 3 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 5 occasions.
Fenerbahçe will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Samsunspor, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 4 and drawn 0
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Fenerbahçe has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 2/7 games for Fenerbahçe this season.
It's likely that Fenerbahçe will score today, as they have netted in the last 7 games coming into this one and have scored 13 goals in the last five games.
Samsunspor a fait match nul contre Fenerbahçe 2-2 en Süper Lig le dimanche 20 octobre 2024 à 16:00 au Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu (Samsun). xG du match : 0.8 pour Samsunspor, 0.7 pour Fenerbahçe. Possession : 57% pour Samsunspor, 43% pour Fenerbahçe. Tirs : 7 (dont 1 cadré) pour Samsunspor, 5 (dont 2 cadrés) pour Fenerbahçe. Indice de forme : Samsunspor 8.3/10, Fenerbahçe 7.4/10. Sur 2 confrontations directes : 0 victoire Samsunspor, 1 nul, 1 victoire Fenerbahçe.
Score final : Samsunspor 2-2 Fenerbahçe. L'algorithme avait prevu Fenerbahçe (48%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.