Samsunspor vs Antalyaspor - Süper Lig - Journee 11 - lundi 4 novembre 2024 à 17:00
Stade : Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu (Samsun)
Score final : Samsunspor 2-0 Antalyaspor
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Samsunspor favori avec 65% de chances de victoire (nul 23%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.8 pour Samsunspor, 1.1 pour Antalyaspor. Samsunspor a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Samsunspor ✓ | 65% | 1,63 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 23% | 3,88 | -3,0% |
| Victoire Antalyaspor | 13% | 5,13 | -6,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Süper Lig :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 86% | 1,17 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Antalyaspor marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 53% | 1,50 | -14,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 45% | 1,80 | -11,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 55% | 1,91 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 75% | 1,29 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 51% | 1,88 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 29% | 3,33 | -1,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 49% | 1,92 | -3,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 71% | 1,31 | -5,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Samsunspor vs Antalyaspor :
| Statistique | Samsunspor | Antalyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,75 | 1,08 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 0 |
| Possession | 43% | 57% |
| Tirs | 14 | 8 |
| Tirs cadrés | 8 | 4 |
| Corners | 5 | 2 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 43 | 39 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +10 | 22 | 1.23 | WWWWDW | 9.2/10 |
| Antalyaspor | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 11 | 1.02 | WDLLLW | 2.7/10 |
Coming into this game, Samsunspor has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Samsunspor has scored 14 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Samsunspor has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 3 games.
Antalyaspor's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Samsunspor from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 3 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 2 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Samsunspor as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 4 games involving Samsunspor has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Antalyaspor get in on the action today? There has been a total of 21 goals in the last 5 games for Samsunspor, both home and away.
Samsunspor is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Antalyaspor, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 14 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Samsunspor, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 4 matches (40% of all matches) involving Samsunspor has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Samsunspor will score today, as they have netted in the last 6 games coming into this one and have scored 14 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Antalyaspor has picked up 4 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Antalyaspor has scored 3 times in the last 5 fixtures.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 4 games for Antalyaspor ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Antalyaspor recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Antalyaspor has fired blanks in 4 games this season. That's 40% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 3 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Antalyaspor has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 1 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 6/10 games for Antalyaspor this season.
Samsunspor a battu Antalyaspor 2-0 en Süper Lig le lundi 4 novembre 2024 à 17:00 au Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu (Samsun). xG du match : 1.8 pour Samsunspor, 1.1 pour Antalyaspor. Possession : 43% pour Samsunspor, 57% pour Antalyaspor. Tirs : 14 (dont 8 cadrés) pour Samsunspor, 8 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Antalyaspor. Indice de forme : Samsunspor 9.2/10, Antalyaspor 2.7/10. Sur 5 confrontations directes : 2 victoires Samsunspor, 1 nul, 2 victoires Antalyaspor.
Score final : Samsunspor 2-0 Antalyaspor. L'algorithme avait prevu Samsunspor (65%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.