Plymouth Argyle vs Preston North End - Championship - Journee 12 - samedi 26 octobre 2024 à 14:00
Stade : Home Park (Plymouth)
Score final : Plymouth Argyle 3-3 Preston North End
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Plymouth Argyle favori avec 41% de chances de victoire (nul 32%). L'algorithme avait prévu Plymouth Argyle favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.2 pour Plymouth Argyle, 1.5 pour Preston North End. Preston North End a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Plymouth Argyle | 41% | 2,65 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul ✓ | 32% | 3,30 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Preston North End | 27% | 2,65 | -11,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Championship :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth Argyle marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 74% | 1,30 | -3,0% |
| Preston North End marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 64% | 1,30 | -13,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 47% | 1,80 | -9,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 53% | 1,91 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 68% | 1,33 | -7,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 42% | 1,93 | -10,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 22% | 3,50 | -7,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 58% | 1,75 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 78% | 1,28 | 0,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Plymouth Argyle vs Preston North End :
| Statistique | Plymouth Argyle | Preston North End |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,23 | 1,51 |
| Buts marqués | 3 | 3 |
| Possession | 57% | 43% |
| Tirs | 8 | 11 |
| Tirs cadrés | 6 | 8 |
| Corners | 2 | 1 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 40 | 34 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth Argyle | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 11 | 1.06 | LWLWLL | 2.5/10 |
| Preston North End | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 13 | 0.88 | DLWDWD | 5.2/10 |
Avant ce match, Plymouth Argyle a pris 6 points lors des 5 derniers matchs, à domicile comme à l'extérieur. Cela fait une moyenne de 1.2 points par match. Les deux équipes ont marqué (BTTS) dans seulement 2 de ces matchs. Plymouth Argyle has scored 5 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Plymouth Argyle is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 3 games that they have played at home.
Preston North End's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Plymouth Argyle from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 3 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Plymouth Argyle recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Plymouth Argyle has fired blanks in 5 games this season. That's 50% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 5 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Plymouth Argyle has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 5/10 games for Plymouth Argyle this season.
Coming into this game, Preston North End has picked up 8 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Preston North End has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Momentum is really building for Preston North End as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 2 of the last 5 games they have played.
Preston North End has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 5 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 5 occasions.
Preston North End will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Plymouth Argyle, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 2 and drawn 2
Preston North End has fired blanks in 4 games this season. That's 36% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 7 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Preston North End has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 4/11 games for Preston North End this season.
Plymouth Argyle a fait match nul contre Preston North End 3-3 en Championship le samedi 26 octobre 2024 à 14:00 au Home Park (Plymouth). xG du match : 1.2 pour Plymouth Argyle, 1.5 pour Preston North End. Possession : 57% pour Plymouth Argyle, 43% pour Preston North End. Tirs : 8 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Plymouth Argyle, 11 (dont 8 cadrés) pour Preston North End. Indice de forme : Plymouth Argyle 2.5/10, Preston North End 5.2/10. Sur 6 confrontations directes : 1 victoire Plymouth Argyle, 2 nuls, 3 victoires Preston North End.
Score final : Plymouth Argyle 3-3 Preston North End. L'algorithme avait prevu Plymouth Argyle (41%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.