Lamia vs AEK Athens - Super League grèque - Journee 15 - samedi 14 décembre 2024 à 15:00
Stade : Dimotiko Athlitiko Kentro Lamias (Lamia)
Score final : Lamia 0-1 AEK Athens
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit AEK Athens favori avec 70% de chances de victoire (nul 19%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 0.3 pour Lamia, 1.5 pour AEK Athens. AEK Athens a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Lamia | 11% | 8,50 | -1,0% |
| Match nul | 19% | 5,30 | 0,0% |
| Victoire AEK Athens ✓ | 70% | 1,23 | -11,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Super League grèque :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lamia marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 54% | 2,10 | +6,0% (value bet) |
| AEK Athens marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 90% | 1,06 | -4,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 48% | 2,38 | +6,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 52% | 1,53 | -13,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 81% | 1,24 | 0,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 58% | 1,66 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 36% | 2,85 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 42% | 2,05 | -7,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 64% | 1,43 | -6,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Lamia vs AEK Athens :
| Statistique | Lamia | AEK Athens |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 0,3 | 1,53 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 1 |
| Possession | 23% | 77% |
| Tirs | 2 | 12 |
| Tirs cadrés | 1 | 3 |
| Corners | 2 | 8 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 13 | 76 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamia | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -10 | 9 | 0.94 | DLLDDL | 1.4/10 |
| AEK Athens | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +14 | 27 | 1.68 | LWWLWW | 7.1/10 |
Coming into this game, Lamia has picked up 2 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Lamia has scored 2 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Can Lamia turn this around? They have not won in the last 5 games coming into this, with 2 draws and 3 defeats.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Lamia recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Lamia has fired blanks in 7 games this season. That's 50% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 2 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Lamia has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 0 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 6/14 games for Lamia this season.
Lamia will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 2 matches. During the last five games they have scored 2 times and overall this season they have scored 0.64 goals per game.
Coming into this game, AEK Athens has picked up 12 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. AEK Athens has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.
AEK Athens has put together a good run of form and has now gone 2 games without defeat.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 4 games involving AEK Athens has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Lamia get in on the action today? There has been a total of 16 goals in the last 5 games for AEK Athens, both home and away.
AEK Athens has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 5 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 8 occasions.
AEK Athens will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Lamia, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 4 and drawn 0
Just 2 of the last 5 games for AEK Athens has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 4/14 games for AEK Athens this season.
It's likely that AEK Athens will score today, as they have netted in the last 5 games coming into this one and have scored 11 goals in the last five games.
Lamia a perdu contre AEK Athens 0-1 en Super League grèque le samedi 14 décembre 2024 à 15:00 au Dimotiko Athlitiko Kentro Lamias (Lamia). xG du match : 0.3 pour Lamia, 1.5 pour AEK Athens. Possession : 23% pour Lamia, 77% pour AEK Athens. Tirs : 2 (dont 1 cadré) pour Lamia, 12 (dont 3 cadrés) pour AEK Athens. Indice de forme : Lamia 1.4/10, AEK Athens 7.1/10. Sur 20 confrontations directes : 0 victoire Lamia, 3 nuls, 17 victoires AEK Athens.
Score final : Lamia 0-1 AEK Athens. L'algorithme avait prevu AEK Athens (70%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.