Bologna vs Fiorentina - Serie A - Journee 16 - dimanche 15 décembre 2024 à 14:00
Stade : Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna)
Score final : Bologna 1-0 Fiorentina
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Bologna favori avec 36% de chances de victoire (nul 34%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.4 pour Bologna, 0.9 pour Fiorentina. Bologna a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Bologna ✓ | 36% | 2,50 | -4,0% |
| Match nul | 34% | 3,10 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Fiorentina | 30% | 2,60 | -8,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Serie A :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 70% | 1,33 | -5,0% |
| Fiorentina marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 66% | 1,33 | -9,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 47% | 1,80 | -9,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 53% | 1,95 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 67% | 1,38 | -5,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 40% | 2,10 | -8,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 20% | 3,75 | -7,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 60% | 1,70 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 80% | 1,28 | +2,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Bologna vs Fiorentina :
| Statistique | Bologna | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,43 | 0,87 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 0 |
| Possession | 51% | 49% |
| Tirs | 12 | 6 |
| Tirs cadrés | 6 | 4 |
| Corners | 1 | 3 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 33 | 27 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | +2 | 22 | 1.23 | WWWLWD | 6.9/10 |
| Fiorentina | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | +18 | 31 | 1.33 | WWWWWW | 2/10 |
Coming into this game, Bologna has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Bologna has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superbe parcours de Bologna à domicile, où l'équipe est actuellement invaincue depuis 6 matchs. Peuvent-ils prolonger cette série sans défaite ?
Bologna a enchaîné une bonne série de forme et est maintenant invaincu depuis 2 matchs.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 4 games involving Bologna has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Fiorentina get in on the action today? There has been a total of 16 goals in the last 5 games for Bologna, both home and away.
Bologna will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Fiorentina, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Bologna has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 8/14 games for Bologna this season.
Coming into this game, Fiorentina has picked up 15 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 3 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Fiorentina has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Incredible away form is being show by Fiorentina and those travelling fans must be loving it. They have won the last 4 and is unbeaten in 5 away trips. Can Bologna end their fairytale away days?
Momentum is really building for Fiorentina as they have now gone 10 games without losing. They have won 5 of the last 5 games they have played.
Fiorentina has kept 4 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 1 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 7 occasions.
Fiorentina is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Bologna, having won 5 and drawn 0. They have scored 8 goals in those 5 games.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Fiorentina has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 5 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 7/14 games for Fiorentina this season.
It's likely that Fiorentina will score today, as they have netted in the last 8 games coming into this one and have scored 8 goals in the last five games.
Bologna a battu Fiorentina 1-0 en Serie A le dimanche 15 décembre 2024 à 14:00 au Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna). xG du match : 1.4 pour Bologna, 0.9 pour Fiorentina. Possession : 51% pour Bologna, 49% pour Fiorentina. Tirs : 12 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Bologna, 6 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Fiorentina. Indice de forme : Bologna 6.9/10, Fiorentina 2/10. Sur 31 confrontations directes : 6 victoires Bologna, 10 nuls, 15 victoires Fiorentina.
Score final : Bologna 1-0 Fiorentina. L'algorithme avait prevu Bologna (36%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.