Chelsea vs Brentford - Premier League - Journee 16 - dimanche 15 décembre 2024 à 19:00
Stade : Stamford Bridge (London)
Score final : Chelsea 2-1 Brentford
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Chelsea favori avec 62% de chances de victoire (nul 21%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 2.3 pour Chelsea, 0.9 pour Brentford. Chelsea a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Chelsea ✓ | 62% | 1,29 | -16,0% |
| Match nul | 21% | 5,10 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Brentford | 17% | 6,50 | +2,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Premier League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 89% | 1,03 | -8,0% |
| Brentford marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 66% | 1,48 | -2,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 59% | 1,57 | -5,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 41% | 2,25 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 84% | 1,11 | -6,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 64% | 1,33 | -11,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 42% | 1,83 | -13,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 36% | 3,15 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 58% | 1,87 | +5,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Chelsea vs Brentford :
| Statistique | Chelsea | Brentford |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 2,33 | 0,95 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 1 |
| Possession | 62% | 38% |
| Tirs | 18 | 7 |
| Tirs cadrés | 8 | 4 |
| Corners | 8 | 5 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 88 | 30 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | +17 | 31 | 1.54 | DDWWWW | 8.7/10 |
| Brentford | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | +3 | 23 | 1.21 | LWDWLW | 5.6/10 |
Coming into this game, Chelsea has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Chelsea has scored 15 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Chelsea at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 6 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Brentford's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Chelsea from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 6 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Chelsea as they have now gone 7 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 11 games for Chelsea ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Chelsea is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Brentford, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 15 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Chelsea, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 11 matches (73% of all matches) involving Chelsea has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Chelsea will score today, as they have netted in the last 14 games coming into this one and have scored 15 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Brentford has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Brentford has scored 12 times in the last 5 fixtures.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 3 games involving Brentford has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Chelsea get in on the action today? There has been a total of 20 goals in the last 5 games for Brentford, both home and away.
Brentford will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Chelsea, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
In the last 5 matches for Brentford, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 13 matches (87% of all matches) involving Brentford has seen BTTS landing.
Chelsea a battu Brentford 2-1 en Premier League le dimanche 15 décembre 2024 à 19:00 au Stamford Bridge (London). xG du match : 2.3 pour Chelsea, 0.9 pour Brentford. Possession : 62% pour Chelsea, 38% pour Brentford. Tirs : 18 (dont 8 cadrés) pour Chelsea, 7 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Brentford. Indice de forme : Chelsea 8.7/10, Brentford 5.6/10. Sur 10 confrontations directes : 4 victoires Chelsea, 3 nuls, 3 victoires Brentford.
Score final : Chelsea 2-1 Brentford. L'algorithme avait prevu Chelsea (62%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.