Sporting Braga vs Casa Pia - Liga Portugal - Journee 16 - dimanche 29 décembre 2024 à 18:00
Stade : Estádio Municipal de Braga (Braga)
Score final : Sporting Braga 1-2 Casa Pia
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Sporting Braga favori avec 67% de chances de victoire (nul 20%). L'algorithme avait prévu Sporting Braga favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.6 pour Sporting Braga, 1.1 pour Casa Pia. Sporting Braga a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Sporting Braga | 67% | 1,34 | -8,0% |
| Match nul | 20% | 4,90 | 0,0% |
| Victoire Casa Pia ✓ | 13% | 8,00 | +1,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Portugal :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Braga marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 89% | 1,09 | -3,0% |
| Casa Pia marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 58% | 1,80 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 51% | 2,00 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 49% | 1,73 | -9,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 81% | 1,25 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 59% | 1,68 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 36% | 3,00 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 41% | 2,12 | -6,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 64% | 1,38 | -8,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Sporting Braga vs Casa Pia :
| Statistique | Sporting Braga | Casa Pia |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,65 | 1,05 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 2 |
| Possession | 60% | 40% |
| Tirs | 12 | 7 |
| Tirs cadrés | 6 | 4 |
| Corners | 10 | 2 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 64 | 45 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | +11 | 28 | 1.46 | WLWDDW | 6.3/10 |
| Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 20 | 1.01 | DDLDWW | 5.6/10 |
Coming into this game, Sporting Braga has picked up 8 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Sporting Braga has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Sporting Braga has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Casa Pia's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Sporting Braga from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 5 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Sporting Braga as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 2 of the last 5 games they have played.
Sporting Braga will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Casa Pia, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 2 and drawn 2
In the last 5 matches for Sporting Braga, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 7 matches (47% of all matches) involving Sporting Braga has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Sporting Braga will score today, as they have netted in the last 10 games coming into this one and have scored 10 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Casa Pia has picked up 8 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Casa Pia has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Casa Pia has put together a good run of form and has now gone 3 games without defeat.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 6 games for Casa Pia ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Casa Pia will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Sporting Braga, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 2 and drawn 2
In the last 5 matches for Casa Pia, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 7 matches (47% of all matches) involving Casa Pia has seen BTTS landing.
Sporting Braga a perdu contre Casa Pia 1-2 en Liga Portugal le dimanche 29 décembre 2024 à 18:00 au Estádio Municipal de Braga (Braga). xG du match : 1.6 pour Sporting Braga, 1.1 pour Casa Pia. Possession : 60% pour Sporting Braga, 40% pour Casa Pia. Tirs : 12 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Sporting Braga, 7 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Casa Pia. Indice de forme : Sporting Braga 6.3/10, Casa Pia 5.6/10. Sur 6 confrontations directes : 4 victoires Sporting Braga, 1 nul, 1 victoire Casa Pia.
Score final : Sporting Braga 1-2 Casa Pia. L'algorithme avait prevu Sporting Braga (67%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.