Sporting CP vs Benfica - Liga Portugal - Journee 16 - dimanche 29 décembre 2024 à 20:30
Stade : Estádio José Alvalade (Lisboa)
Score final : Sporting CP 1-0 Benfica
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Sporting CP favori avec 46% de chances de victoire (nul 29%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.3 pour Sporting CP, 1.4 pour Benfica. Benfica a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Sporting CP ✓ | 46% | 2,50 | +6,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 29% | 3,55 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Benfica | 26% | 2,61 | -12,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Portugal :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 80% | 1,22 | -2,0% |
| Benfica marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 67% | 1,22 | -15,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 53% | 1,53 | -12,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 47% | 2,38 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 75% | 1,22 | -7,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 51% | 1,65 | -10,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 29% | 2,62 | -9,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 49% | 2,16 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 71% | 1,48 | +3,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Sporting CP vs Benfica :
| Statistique | Sporting CP | Benfica |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,31 | 1,42 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 0 |
| Possession | 45% | 55% |
| Tirs | 9 | 12 |
| Tirs cadrés | 6 | 3 |
| Corners | 4 | 8 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 44 | 62 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | +33 | 37 | 1.92 | WWLLWD | 5.4/10 |
| Benfica | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | +29 | 38 | 1.73 | WWWDWW | 9.5/10 |
Coming into this game, Sporting CP has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Sporting CP has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Sporting CP has put together a good run of form and has now gone 2 games without defeat.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Sporting CP recently, with the side failing to score in 2 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
In the last 5 matches for Sporting CP, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 6 matches (40% of all matches) involving Sporting CP has seen BTTS landing.
Coming into this game, Benfica has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Benfica has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Benfica away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 6 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Scoring is not an issue for Benfica when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 6 games they have played on the road. Can Sporting CP stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Benfica as they have now gone 14 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Benfica has kept 4 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 1 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 8 occasions.
Benfica is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Sporting CP, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 9 goals in those 5 games.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Benfica has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 6/15 games for Benfica this season.
It's likely that Benfica will score today, as they have netted in the last 14 games coming into this one and have scored 9 goals in the last five games.
Sporting CP a battu Benfica 1-0 en Liga Portugal le dimanche 29 décembre 2024 à 20:30 au Estádio José Alvalade (Lisboa). xG du match : 1.3 pour Sporting CP, 1.4 pour Benfica. Possession : 45% pour Sporting CP, 55% pour Benfica. Tirs : 9 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Sporting CP, 12 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Benfica. Indice de forme : Sporting CP 5.4/10, Benfica 9.5/10. Sur 36 confrontations directes : 9 victoires Sporting CP, 10 nuls, 17 victoires Benfica.
Score final : Sporting CP 1-0 Benfica. L'algorithme avait prevu Sporting CP (46%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.