Casa Pia vs Famalicão - Liga Portugal - Journee 17 - dimanche 5 janvier 2025 à 18:00
Stade : Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior (Rio Maior)
Score final : Casa Pia 1-1 Famalicão
L'algorithme Pronalgo avait estimé ce match très équilibré (35% / 36% / 29%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 0.8 pour Casa Pia, 2.3 pour Famalicão. Famalicão a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Casa Pia | 35% | 2,40 | -7,0% |
| Match nul ✓ | 36% | 3,00 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Famalicão | 29% | 3,17 | -3,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Portugal :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 68% | 1,36 | -6,0% |
| Famalicão marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 63% | 1,48 | -5,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 43% | 2,10 | -5,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 57% | 1,67 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 63% | 1,50 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 36% | 2,54 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 17% | 5,00 | -3,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 64% | 1,48 | -4,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 83% | 1,17 | -2,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Casa Pia vs Famalicão :
| Statistique | Casa Pia | Famalicão |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 0,83 | 2,34 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 1 |
| Possession | 55% | 45% |
| Tirs | 5 | 17 |
| Tirs cadrés | 3 | 14 |
| Corners | 5 | 7 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 40 | 40 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 23 | 1.02 | DLDWWW | 6.8/10 |
| Famalicão | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 19 | 1.01 | DLDDLL | 1.2/10 |
Coming into this game, Casa Pia has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Casa Pia has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Casa Pia at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 6 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Famalicão's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Casa Pia from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 6 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 2 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Casa Pia as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 7 games for Casa Pia ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Casa Pia will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Famalicão, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
In the last 5 matches for Casa Pia, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 8 matches (50% of all matches) involving Casa Pia has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Casa Pia will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 8 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Famalicão has picked up 2 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Famalicão has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Il est possible que nous voyons quelques buts ici, les 5 derniers matchs du Famalicão s'étant terminés avec 2 buts ou plus inscrits.
Can Famalicão turn this around? They have not won in the last 5 games coming into this, with 2 draws and 3 defeats.
The last 5 games for Famalicão has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Famalicão has seen a total of 9/16 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 56% of all matches played.
It's likely that Famalicão will score today, as they have netted in the last 5 games coming into this one and have scored 7 goals in the last five games.
Casa Pia a fait match nul contre Famalicão 1-1 en Liga Portugal le dimanche 5 janvier 2025 à 18:00 au Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior (Rio Maior). xG du match : 0.8 pour Casa Pia, 2.3 pour Famalicão. Possession : 55% pour Casa Pia, 45% pour Famalicão. Tirs : 5 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Casa Pia, 17 (dont 14 cadrés) pour Famalicão. Indice de forme : Casa Pia 6.8/10, Famalicão 1.2/10. Sur 4 confrontations directes : 2 victoires Casa Pia, 0 nul, 2 victoires Famalicão.
Score final : Casa Pia 1-1 Famalicão. L'algorithme avait prevu match nul (36%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.