Union Saint-Gilloise vs Club Brugge - Jupiler Pro League - Journee 19 - dimanche 22 décembre 2024 à 17:30
Stade : Stade Joseph Mariën (Bruxelles (Brussels))
Score final : Union Saint-Gilloise 2-2 Club Brugge
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Club Brugge favori avec 37% de chances de victoire (nul 32%). L'algorithme avait prévu Club Brugge favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.0 pour Union Saint-Gilloise, 1.3 pour Club Brugge. Club Brugge a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Union Saint-Gilloise | 31% | 2,66 | -7,0% |
| Match nul ✓ | 32% | 3,34 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Club Brugge | 37% | 2,54 | -2,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Jupiler Pro League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Saint-Gilloise marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 71% | 1,30 | -6,0% |
| Club Brugge marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 75% | 1,29 | -3,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 53% | 1,75 | -4,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 47% | 2,00 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 73% | 1,31 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 48% | 1,87 | -5,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 27% | 3,35 | -3,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 52% | 1,87 | -1,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 73% | 1,31 | -3,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Union Saint-Gilloise vs Club Brugge :
| Statistique | Union Saint-Gilloise | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,04 | 1,34 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 2 |
| Possession | 42% | 58% |
| Tirs | 7 | 10 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 6 |
| Corners | 5 | 6 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 42 | 38 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Saint-Gilloise | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | +8 | 27 | 1.48 | DWDWDW | 7.2/10 |
| Club Brugge | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | +20 | 37 | 1.59 | WDWWWW | 9.6/10 |
Coming into this game, Union Saint-Gilloise has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Union Saint-Gilloise has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Union Saint-Gilloise is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 3 games that they have played at home.
Club Brugge's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Union Saint-Gilloise from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 4 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 2 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Union Saint-Gilloise as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
Union Saint-Gilloise is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Club Brugge, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 10 goals in those 5 games.
Union Saint-Gilloise has fired blanks in 7 games this season. That's 39% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored an intriguing 10 goals.
In the last 5 matches for Union Saint-Gilloise, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 8 matches (44% of all matches) involving Union Saint-Gilloise has seen BTTS landing.
Coming into this game, Club Brugge has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Club Brugge has scored 17 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Club Brugge away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 7 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Scoring is not an issue for Club Brugge when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 8 games they have played on the road. Can Union Saint-Gilloise stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Club Brugge as they have now gone 10 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 5 games for Club Brugge ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Club Brugge is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Union Saint-Gilloise, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 17 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Club Brugge, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 11 matches (61% of all matches) involving Club Brugge has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Club Brugge will score today, as they have netted in the last 16 games coming into this one and have scored 17 goals in the last five games.
Union Saint-Gilloise a fait match nul contre Club Brugge 2-2 en Jupiler Pro League le dimanche 22 décembre 2024 à 17:30 au Stade Joseph Mariën (Bruxelles (Brussels)). xG du match : 1.0 pour Union Saint-Gilloise, 1.3 pour Club Brugge. Possession : 42% pour Union Saint-Gilloise, 58% pour Club Brugge. Tirs : 7 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Union Saint-Gilloise, 10 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Club Brugge. Indice de forme : Union Saint-Gilloise 7.2/10, Club Brugge 9.6/10. Sur 16 confrontations directes : 4 victoires Union Saint-Gilloise, 6 nuls, 6 victoires Club Brugge.
Score final : Union Saint-Gilloise 2-2 Club Brugge. L'algorithme avait prevu Club Brugge (37%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.