KAA Gent vs Union Saint-Gilloise - Jupiler Pro League - Journee 20 - jeudi 26 décembre 2024 à 19:45
Stade : Planet Group Arena (Gent)
Score final : KAA Gent 1-3 Union Saint-Gilloise
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Union Saint-Gilloise favori avec 39% de chances de victoire (nul 32%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 0.8 pour KAA Gent, 1.6 pour Union Saint-Gilloise. Union Saint-Gilloise a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire KAA Gent | 29% | 3,30 | -1,0% |
| Match nul | 32% | 3,60 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Union Saint-Gilloise ✓ | 39% | 2,00 | -11,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Jupiler Pro League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| KAA Gent marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 68% | 1,34 | -7,0% |
| Union Saint-Gilloise marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 75% | 1,20 | -8,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 51% | 1,65 | -10,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 49% | 2,05 | 0,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 72% | 1,25 | -8,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 46% | 1,75 | -11,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 25% | 3,00 | -8,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 54% | 1,95 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 75% | 1,38 | +3,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour KAA Gent vs Union Saint-Gilloise :
| Statistique | KAA Gent | Union Saint-Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 0,79 | 1,6 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 3 |
| Possession | 55% | 45% |
| Tirs | 4 | 12 |
| Tirs cadrés | 3 | 7 |
| Corners | 2 | 4 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 43 | 47 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KAA Gent | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | +8 | 30 | 1.25 | WLDWDW | 6.4/10 |
| Union Saint-Gilloise | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | +8 | 28 | 1.45 | WDWDWD | 7/10 |
Coming into this game, KAA Gent has picked up 8 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. KAA Gent has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
KAA Gent has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 3 games.
Union Saint-Gilloise's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop KAA Gent from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 3 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for KAA Gent as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 2 of the last 5 games they have played.
KAA Gent will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Union Saint-Gilloise, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 2 and drawn 2
Just 2 of the last 5 games for KAA Gent has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 8/19 games for KAA Gent this season.
It's likely that KAA Gent will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 6 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Union Saint-Gilloise has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Union Saint-Gilloise has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Union Saint-Gilloise away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 5 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Momentum is really building for Union Saint-Gilloise as they have now gone 7 games without losing. They have won 2 of the last 5 games they have played.
Union Saint-Gilloise is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against KAA Gent, having won 2 and drawn 3. They have scored 8 goals in those 5 games.
Union Saint-Gilloise has fired blanks in 7 games this season. That's 37% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored an intriguing 8 goals.
In the last 5 matches for Union Saint-Gilloise, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 9 matches (47% of all matches) involving Union Saint-Gilloise has seen BTTS landing.
KAA Gent a perdu contre Union Saint-Gilloise 1-3 en Jupiler Pro League le jeudi 26 décembre 2024 à 19:45 au Planet Group Arena (Gent). xG du match : 0.8 pour KAA Gent, 1.6 pour Union Saint-Gilloise. Possession : 55% pour KAA Gent, 45% pour Union Saint-Gilloise. Tirs : 4 (dont 3 cadrés) pour KAA Gent, 12 (dont 7 cadrés) pour Union Saint-Gilloise. Indice de forme : KAA Gent 6.4/10, Union Saint-Gilloise 7/10. Sur 9 confrontations directes : 0 victoire KAA Gent, 5 nuls, 4 victoires Union Saint-Gilloise.
Score final : KAA Gent 1-3 Union Saint-Gilloise. L'algorithme avait prevu Union Saint-Gilloise (39%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.