Al Quadisiya vs Al Ittihad - Saudi Pro League - Journee 24 - jeudi 6 mars 2025 à 19:00
Stade : Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium (Ad Dammām (Dammam))
Score final : Al Quadisiya 1-1 Al Ittihad
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Al Ittihad favori avec 38% de chances de victoire (nul 30%). L'algorithme avait prévu Al Ittihad favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.9 pour Al Quadisiya, 1.0 pour Al Ittihad. Al Quadisiya a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Al Quadisiya | 32% | 2,73 | -5,0% |
| Match nul ✓ | 30% | 3,84 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Al Ittihad | 38% | 2,28 | -6,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Saudi Pro League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Quadisiya marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 73% | 1,22 | -9,0% |
| Al Ittihad marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 77% | 1,22 | -5,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 56% | 1,48 | -12,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 44% | 2,40 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 76% | 1,20 | -7,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 52% | 1,62 | -10,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 30% | 2,55 | -9,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 48% | 2,25 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 70% | 1,50 | +3,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Al Quadisiya vs Al Ittihad :
| Statistique | Al Quadisiya | Al Ittihad |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,86 | 1,04 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 1 |
| Possession | 46% | 54% |
| Tirs | 19 | 6 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 4 |
| Corners | 4 | 2 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 53 | 51 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Quadisiya | 23 | 16 | 2 | 5 | +17 | 50 | 1.45 | DWWWLW | 6.9/10 |
| Al Ittihad | 23 | 18 | 3 | 2 | +34 | 57 | 1.34 | WWWWDD | 8/10 |
Coming into this game, Al Quadisiya has picked up 12 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Al Quadisiya has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Al Quadisiya is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 4 games that they have played at home.
Al Ittihad's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Al Quadisiya from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 4 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 2 home matches this season.
Al Quadisiya has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 6 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 13 occasions.
Al Quadisiya will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Al Ittihad, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 4 and drawn 0
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Al Quadisiya has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 8/23 games for Al Quadisiya this season.
It's likely that Al Quadisiya will score today, as they have netted in the last 9 games coming into this one and have scored 9 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Al Ittihad has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Al Ittihad has scored 12 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Al Ittihad has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 3 games.
Scoring is not an issue for Al Ittihad when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 11 games they have played on the road. Can Al Quadisiya stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Al Ittihad as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 14 games for Al Ittihad ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Al Ittihad is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Al Quadisiya, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 12 goals in those 5 games.
The last 5 games for Al Ittihad has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Al Ittihad has seen a total of 17/23 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 74% of all matches played.
It's likely that Al Ittihad will score today, as they have netted in the last 23 games coming into this one and have scored 12 goals in the last five games.
Al Quadisiya a fait match nul contre Al Ittihad 1-1 en Saudi Pro League le jeudi 6 mars 2025 à 19:00 au Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium (Ad Dammām (Dammam)). xG du match : 1.9 pour Al Quadisiya, 1.0 pour Al Ittihad. Possession : 46% pour Al Quadisiya, 54% pour Al Ittihad. Tirs : 19 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Al Quadisiya, 6 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Al Ittihad. Indice de forme : Al Quadisiya 6.9/10, Al Ittihad 8/10. Sur 11 confrontations directes : 1 victoire Al Quadisiya, 3 nuls, 7 victoires Al Ittihad.
Score final : Al Quadisiya 1-1 Al Ittihad. L'algorithme avait prevu Al Ittihad (38%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.