Al Wahda vs Al Raed - Saudi Pro League - Journee 24 - jeudi 6 mars 2025 à 20:00
Stade : King Abdulaziz Sports City Stadium (Makkah (Mecca))
Score final : Al Wahda 3-1 Al Raed
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Al Wahda favori avec 36% de chances de victoire (nul 33%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 2.3 pour Al Wahda, 1.1 pour Al Raed. Al Wahda a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Al Wahda ✓ | 36% | 2,09 | -12,0% |
| Match nul | 33% | 3,47 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Al Raed | 31% | 3,33 | +1,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Saudi Pro League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Wahda marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 73% | 1,22 | -9,0% |
| Al Raed marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 70% | 1,38 | -2,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 51% | 1,70 | -8,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 49% | 2,00 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 72% | 1,30 | -5,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 46% | 1,91 | -6,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 25% | 3,35 | -5,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 54% | 1,88 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 75% | 1,30 | -2,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Al Wahda vs Al Raed :
| Statistique | Al Wahda | Al Raed |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 2,33 | 1,1 |
| Buts marqués | 3 | 1 |
| Possession | 47% | 53% |
| Tirs | 22 | 8 |
| Tirs cadrés | 9 | 5 |
| Corners | 4 | 5 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 43 | 32 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Wahda | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | -28 | 14 | 1.15 | LLLLLD | 0/10 |
| Al Raed | 23 | 5 | 3 | 15 | -14 | 18 | 0.89 | LLLWLD | 1.8/10 |
Coming into this game, Al Wahda has picked up 1 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Al Wahda has scored 3 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Can Al Wahda turn this around? They have not won in the last 5 games coming into this, with 1 draws and 4 defeats.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Al Wahda recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Al Wahda has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 0 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 14/23 games for Al Wahda this season.
Al Wahda will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 3 matches. During the last five games they have scored 3 times and overall this season they have scored 1.09 goals per game.
Coming into this game, Al Raed has picked up 4 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Al Raed has scored 5 times in the last 5 fixtures.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 11 games for Al Raed ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Al Raed recently, with the side failing to score in 2 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
In the last 5 matches for Al Raed, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 13 matches (57% of all matches) involving Al Raed has seen BTTS landing.
Al Wahda a battu Al Raed 3-1 en Saudi Pro League le jeudi 6 mars 2025 à 20:00 au King Abdulaziz Sports City Stadium (Makkah (Mecca)). xG du match : 2.3 pour Al Wahda, 1.1 pour Al Raed. Possession : 47% pour Al Wahda, 53% pour Al Raed. Tirs : 22 (dont 9 cadrés) pour Al Wahda, 8 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Al Raed. Indice de forme : Al Wahda 0/10, Al Raed 1.8/10. Sur 16 confrontations directes : 5 victoires Al Wahda, 4 nuls, 7 victoires Al Raed.
Score final : Al Wahda 3-1 Al Raed. L'algorithme avait prevu Al Wahda (36%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.