Middlesbrough vs Burnley - Championship - Journee 24 - dimanche 29 décembre 2024 à 20:00
Stade : Riverside Stadium (Middlesbrough)
Score final : Middlesbrough 0-0 Burnley
L'algorithme Pronalgo avait estimé ce match très équilibré (32% / 36% / 32%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 0.9 pour Middlesbrough, 0.8 pour Burnley. Middlesbrough a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Middlesbrough | 32% | 2,20 | -13,0% |
| Match nul ✓ | 36% | 3,30 | +6,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Burnley | 32% | 3,25 | +1,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Championship :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 67% | 1,28 | -11,0% |
| Burnley marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 68% | 1,38 | -4,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 46% | 1,83 | -9,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 54% | 1,83 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 66% | 1,36 | -8,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 39% | 2,12 | -8,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 19% | 3,75 | -8,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 61% | 1,68 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 81% | 1,28 | +3,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Middlesbrough vs Burnley :
| Statistique | Middlesbrough | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 0,88 | 0,81 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 0 |
| Possession | 45% | 55% |
| Tirs | 6 | 7 |
| Tirs cadrés | 3 | 1 |
| Corners | 1 | 5 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 38 | 40 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | +10 | 36 | 1.41 | WDLWDD | 4.9/10 |
| Burnley | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | +21 | 47 | 1.20 | WDDWWW | 8.3/10 |
Coming into this game, Middlesbrough has picked up 6 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Middlesbrough has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Middlesbrough has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 3 games.
Burnley's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Middlesbrough from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 3 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 3 home matches this season.
Middlesbrough enchaîne une bonne série de forme et est désormais invaincu depuis 3 matchs.
Middlesbrough will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Burnley, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 1 and drawn 3
In the last 5 matches for Middlesbrough, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 12 matches (52% of all matches) involving Middlesbrough has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Middlesbrough will score today, as they have netted in the last 6 games coming into this one and have scored 9 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Burnley has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Burnley has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Incredible away form is being show by Burnley and those travelling fans must be loving it. They have won the last 4 and is unbeaten in 5 away trips. Can Middlesbrough end their fairytale away days?
Momentum is really building for Burnley as they have now gone 10 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
Burnley is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Middlesbrough, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 7 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Burnley, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 7 matches (30% of all matches) involving Burnley has seen BTTS landing.
Middlesbrough a fait match nul contre Burnley 0-0 en Championship le dimanche 29 décembre 2024 à 20:00 au Riverside Stadium (Middlesbrough). xG du match : 0.9 pour Middlesbrough, 0.8 pour Burnley. Possession : 45% pour Middlesbrough, 55% pour Burnley. Tirs : 6 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Middlesbrough, 7 (dont 1 cadré) pour Burnley. Indice de forme : Middlesbrough 4.9/10, Burnley 8.3/10. Sur 16 confrontations directes : 6 victoires Middlesbrough, 4 nuls, 6 victoires Burnley.
Score final : Middlesbrough 0-0 Burnley. L'algorithme avait prevu match nul (36%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.