Al Fateh vs Al Raed - Saudi Pro League - Journee 25 - jeudi 13 mars 2025 à 19:00
Stade : Al Fateh Club Stadium (Al-Hofuf)
Score final : Al Fateh 3-1 Al Raed
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Al Fateh favori avec 56% de chances de victoire (nul 25%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.6 pour Al Fateh, 1.5 pour Al Raed. Al Fateh a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Al Fateh ✓ | 56% | 1,68 | -4,0% |
| Match nul | 25% | 3,63 | -3,0% |
| Victoire Al Raed | 18% | 5,02 | -2,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Saudi Pro League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Fateh marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 84% | 1,11 | -6,0% |
| Al Raed marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 62% | 1,48 | -6,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 52% | 1,62 | -10,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 48% | 2,10 | 0,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 77% | 1,22 | -5,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 53% | 1,67 | -7,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 31% | 2,65 | -7,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 47% | 2,15 | 0,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 69% | 1,48 | +1,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Al Fateh vs Al Raed :
| Statistique | Al Fateh | Al Raed |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,64 | 1,54 |
| Buts marqués | 3 | 1 |
| Possession | 55% | 45% |
| Tirs | 14 | 15 |
| Tirs cadrés | 6 | 4 |
| Corners | 4 | 9 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 47 | 43 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Fateh | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | -24 | 19 | 1.32 | LWWWLL | 4.3/10 |
| Al Raed | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -16 | 18 | 0.90 | LLWLDL | 1.6/10 |
Coming into this game, Al Fateh has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Al Fateh has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Al Fateh will be confident of scoring today and will look to keep up their record of scoring in every single home game this season.
Al Fateh has had no trouble finding the back of the net recently and has scored in the last 12 home games. They have failed to find the net in 0 home game this season.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 3 games involving Al Fateh has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Al Raed get in on the action today? There has been a total of 14 goals in the last 5 games for Al Fateh, both home and away.
In the last 5 matches for Al Fateh, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 16 matches (67% of all matches) involving Al Fateh has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Al Fateh will score today, as they have netted in the last 5 games coming into this one and have scored 8 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Al Raed has picked up 4 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Al Raed has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 12 games for Al Raed ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
In the last 5 matches for Al Raed, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 14 matches (58% of all matches) involving Al Raed has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Al Raed will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 6 goals in the last five games.
Al Fateh a battu Al Raed 3-1 en Saudi Pro League le jeudi 13 mars 2025 à 19:00 au Al Fateh Club Stadium (Al-Hofuf). xG du match : 1.6 pour Al Fateh, 1.5 pour Al Raed. Possession : 55% pour Al Fateh, 45% pour Al Raed. Tirs : 14 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Al Fateh, 15 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Al Raed. Indice de forme : Al Fateh 4.3/10, Al Raed 1.6/10. Sur 23 confrontations directes : 10 victoires Al Fateh, 6 nuls, 7 victoires Al Raed.
Score final : Al Fateh 3-1 Al Raed. L'algorithme avait prevu Al Fateh (56%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.