Luton Town vs Norwich City - Championship - Journee 25 - mercredi 1 janvier 2025 à 15:00
Stade : Kenilworth Road (Luton, Bedfordshire)
Score final : Luton Town 0-1 Norwich City
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Luton Town favori avec 41% de chances de victoire (nul 34%). L'algorithme avait prévu Luton Town favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.3 pour Luton Town, 1.1 pour Norwich City. Luton Town a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Luton Town | 41% | 2,25 | -3,0% |
| Match nul | 34% | 3,40 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Norwich City ✓ | 25% | 2,80 | -11,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Championship :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luton Town marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 72% | 1,22 | -10,0% |
| Norwich City marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 60% | 1,28 | -18,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 43% | 1,67 | -17,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 57% | 2,10 | +9,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 64% | 1,25 | -16,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 37% | 1,70 | -22,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 18% | 2,95 | -16,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 63% | 2,10 | +15,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 82% | 1,38 | +10,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Luton Town vs Norwich City :
| Statistique | Luton Town | Norwich City |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,29 | 1,12 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 1 |
| Possession | 49% | 51% |
| Tirs | 11 | 9 |
| Tirs cadrés | 3 | 3 |
| Corners | 9 | 5 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 52 | 47 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luton Town | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | -15 | 25 | 1.12 | DWLWLL | 3.1/10 |
| Norwich City | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | +4 | 30 | 1.10 | LDLLWD | 2.5/10 |
Coming into this game, Luton Town has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Luton Town has scored 5 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Luton Town at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 6 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Luton Town will be confident of scoring today and will look to keep up their record of scoring in every single home game this season.
Luton Town has had no trouble finding the back of the net recently and has scored in the last 12 home games. They have failed to find the net in 0 home game this season.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Luton Town recently, with the side failing to score in 2 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
In the last 5 matches for Luton Town, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 13 matches (57% of all matches) involving Luton Town has seen BTTS landing.
Coming into this game, Norwich City has picked up 5 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Norwich City has scored 5 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Norwich City a enchaîné une bonne série de résultats et reste sur 2 matchs sans défaite.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 4 games for Norwich City ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
In the last 5 matches for Norwich City, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 16 matches (67% of all matches) involving Norwich City has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Norwich City will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 5 goals in the last five games.
Luton Town a perdu contre Norwich City 0-1 en Championship le mercredi 1 janvier 2025 à 15:00 au Kenilworth Road (Luton, Bedfordshire). xG du match : 1.3 pour Luton Town, 1.1 pour Norwich City. Possession : 49% pour Luton Town, 51% pour Norwich City. Tirs : 11 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Luton Town, 9 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Norwich City. Indice de forme : Luton Town 3.1/10, Norwich City 2.5/10. Sur 7 confrontations directes : 5 victoires Luton Town, 0 nul, 2 victoires Norwich City.
Score final : Luton Town 0-1 Norwich City. L'algorithme avait prevu Luton Town (41%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.