Galatasaray vs Kayserispor - Süper Lig - Journee 36 - dimanche 18 mai 2025 à 16:00
Score final : Galatasaray 3-0 Kayserispor
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Galatasaray favori avec 86% de chances de victoire (nul 9%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 2.4 pour Galatasaray, 0.8 pour Kayserispor. Galatasaray a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Galatasaray ✓ | 86% | 1,16 | 0,0% |
| Match nul | 9% | 7,95 | -4,0% |
| Victoire Kayserispor | 5% | 11,53 | -4,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Süper Lig :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 96% | 1,02 | -2,0% |
| Kayserispor marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 52% | 1,73 | -6,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 50% | 1,77 | -6,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 50% | 1,95 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 91% | 1,09 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 77% | 1,30 | 0,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 58% | 1,71 | 0,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 23% | 3,45 | -6,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 42% | 2,00 | -8,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Galatasaray vs Kayserispor :
| Statistique | Galatasaray | Kayserispor |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 2,35 | 0,76 |
| Buts marqués | 3 | 0 |
| Possession | 59% | 41% |
| Tirs | 24 | 5 |
| Tirs cadrés | 6 | 2 |
| Corners | 5 | 3 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 59 | 41 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | +51 | 86 | 1.84 | LWWWWW | 9.5/10 |
| Kayserispor | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | -8 | 44 | 1.23 | WWDWDW | 7.7/10 |
Coming into this game, Galatasaray has picked up 15 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 3 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Galatasaray has scored 15 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Galatasaray is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 3 games that they have played at home.
Superb stuff from Galatasaray at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 16 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Kayserispor's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Galatasaray from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 3 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Galatasaray as they have now gone 5 games without losing. They have won 5 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 9 games for Galatasaray ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Galatasaray has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 12 occasions.
Galatasaray is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Kayserispor, having won 5 and drawn 0. They have scored 15 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Galatasaray has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 5 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 21/33 games for Galatasaray this season.
It's likely that Galatasaray will score today, as they have netted in the last 9 games coming into this one and have scored 15 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Kayserispor has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Kayserispor has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Kayserispor a aimé jouer à l'extérieur récemment, l'équipe étant actuellement sur une série de 3 matchs sans défaite.
Momentum is really building for Kayserispor as they have now gone 7 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
Kayserispor is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Galatasaray, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 9 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Kayserispor, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 16 matches (48% of all matches) involving Kayserispor has seen BTTS landing.
Il est probable que Kayserispor marque aujourd'hui, ayant trouvé le chemin des filets lors de ses 7 derniers matchs avant celui-ci et ayant inscrit 9 buts lors des cinq dernières rencontres.
Galatasaray a battu Kayserispor 3-0 en Süper Lig le dimanche 18 mai 2025 à 16:00. xG du match : 2.4 pour Galatasaray, 0.8 pour Kayserispor. Possession : 59% pour Galatasaray, 41% pour Kayserispor. Tirs : 24 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Galatasaray, 5 (dont 2 cadrés) pour Kayserispor. Indice de forme : Galatasaray 9.5/10, Kayserispor 7.7/10. Sur 19 confrontations directes : 11 victoires Galatasaray, 5 nuls, 3 victoires Kayserispor.
Score final : Galatasaray 3-0 Kayserispor. L'algorithme avait prevu Galatasaray (86%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.