Bologna vs Roma - Europa League - jeudi 12 mars 2026 à 17:45
Stade : Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Score final : Bologna 1-1 Roma
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Bologna favori avec 36% de chances de victoire (nul 32%). L'algorithme avait prévu Bologna favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.4 pour Bologna, 0.8 pour Roma. Bologna a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Bologna | 36% | 3,00 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul ✓ | 32% | 3,10 | 0,0% |
| Victoire Roma | 32% | 2,45 | -9,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Europa League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 75% | 1,45 | +6,0% (value bet) |
| Roma marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 73% | 1,33 | -2,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 55% | 1,93 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 45% | 1,77 | -11,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 75% | 1,43 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 51% | 2,35 | +8,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 29% | 4,33 | +6,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 49% | 1,64 | -12,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 71% | 1,16 | -15,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Bologna vs Roma :
| Statistique | Bologna | Roma |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,45 | 0,84 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 1 |
| Possession | 51% | 49% |
| Tirs | 13 | 8 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 2 |
| Corners | 7 | 3 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 48 | 26 |
Coming into this game, Bologna has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Bologna has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Bologna at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 5 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Roma's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Bologna from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 3 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Bologna as they have now gone 9 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Bologna a gardé 3 clean sheets lors de ses 5 derniers matchs, concédant 3 buts au cours de cette période. Globalement cette saison, leur défense a gardé sa cage inviolée à 4 reprises.
Bologna is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Roma, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 9 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Bologna has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 5/10 games for Bologna this season.
It's likely that Bologna will score today, as they have netted in the last 6 games coming into this one and have scored 9 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Roma has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Roma has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Roma has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 4 games.
La dynamique est vraiment positive pour Roma qui vient d'enchaîner 5 matchs sans défaite. Ils ont remporté 4 de leurs 5 derniers matchs joués.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 6 games for Roma ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Roma has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 3 occasions.
Roma is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Bologna, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 10 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Roma has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 4/8 games for Roma this season.
It's likely that Roma will score today, as they have netted in the last 6 games coming into this one and have scored 10 goals in the last five games.
Bologna a fait match nul contre Roma 1-1 en Europa League le jeudi 12 mars 2026 à 17:45 au Stadio Renato Dall'Ara. xG du match : 1.4 pour Bologna, 0.8 pour Roma. Possession : 51% pour Bologna, 49% pour Roma. Tirs : 13 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Bologna, 8 (dont 2 cadrés) pour Roma. Indice de forme : Bologna 9.2/10, Roma 7.4/10. Sur 33 confrontations directes : 7 victoires Bologna, 10 nuls, 16 victoires Roma.
Score final : Bologna 1-1 Roma. L'algorithme avait prevu Bologna (36%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.