Rijeka vs Strasbourg - Conference League - jeudi 12 mars 2026 à 17:45
Stade : Stadion HNK Rijeka
Score final : Rijeka 1-2 Strasbourg
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Strasbourg favori avec 38% de chances de victoire (nul 30%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 2.2 pour Rijeka, 1.5 pour Strasbourg. Rijeka a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Rijeka | 32% | 4,40 | +9,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 30% | 3,40 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Strasbourg ✓ | 38% | 1,75 | -19,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Conference League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rijeka marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 75% | 1,53 | +10,0% (value bet) |
| Strasbourg marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 78% | 1,18 | -7,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 59% | 1,85 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 41% | 1,88 | -12,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 79% | 1,30 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 55% | 1,92 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 33% | 3,44 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 45% | 1,72 | -13,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 67% | 1,23 | -14,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Rijeka vs Strasbourg :
| Statistique | Rijeka | Strasbourg |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 2,19 | 1,46 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 2 |
| Possession | 50% | 50% |
| Tirs | 19 | 13 |
| Tirs cadrés | 8 | 6 |
| Corners | 9 | 3 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 61 | 31 |
Coming into this game, Rijeka has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Rijeka has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Rijeka has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 4 games.
Momentum is really building for Rijeka as they have now gone 7 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
Rijeka has kept 4 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 1 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 5 occasions.
Rijeka is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Strasbourg, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 7 goals in those 5 games.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Rijeka recently, with the side failing to score in 2 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Rijeka has fired blanks in 3 games this season. That's 38% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 7 goals.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Rijeka has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 2/8 games for Rijeka this season.
Coming into this game, Strasbourg has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Strasbourg has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Strasbourg has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 4 games.
Momentum is really building for Strasbourg as they have now gone 8 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Strasbourg is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Rijeka, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 9 goals in those 5 games.
Lors des 5 derniers matchs de Strasbourg, 4 de ces matchs se sont terminés avec les deux équipes qui marquent. Cette saison, 6 matchs (75% de tous les matchs) impliquant Strasbourg ont vu le BTTS passer.
It's likely that Strasbourg will score today, as they have netted in the last 7 games coming into this one and have scored 9 goals in the last five games.
Rijeka a perdu contre Strasbourg 1-2 en Conference League le jeudi 12 mars 2026 à 17:45 au Stadion HNK Rijeka. xG du match : 2.2 pour Rijeka, 1.5 pour Strasbourg. Possession : 50% pour Rijeka, 50% pour Strasbourg. Tirs : 19 (dont 8 cadrés) pour Rijeka, 13 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Strasbourg. Indice de forme : Rijeka 7.2/10, Strasbourg 8.8/10.
Score final : Rijeka 1-2 Strasbourg. L'algorithme avait prevu Strasbourg (38%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.