Lausanne Sport vs Fiorentina - Conference League - Journee 6 - jeudi 18 décembre 2025 à 20:00
Score final : Lausanne Sport 1-0 Fiorentina
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Fiorentina favori avec 40% de chances de victoire (nul 31%). L'algorithme avait prévu Fiorentina favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.8 pour Lausanne Sport, 1.3 pour Fiorentina. Lausanne Sport a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Lausanne Sport ✓ | 29% | 3,90 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 31% | 3,80 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Fiorentina | 40% | 1,92 | -12,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Conference League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lausanne Sport marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 70% | 1,38 | -2,0% |
| Fiorentina marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 77% | 1,15 | -10,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 54% | 1,67 | -6,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 46% | 2,25 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 74% | 1,25 | -6,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 50% | 1,75 | -7,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 28% | 2,70 | -9,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 50% | 2,05 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 72% | 1,40 | +1,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Lausanne Sport vs Fiorentina :
| Statistique | Lausanne Sport | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,76 | 1,3 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 0 |
| Possession | 46% | 54% |
| Tirs | 17 | 11 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 4 |
| Corners | 6 | 7 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 47 | 44 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lausanne Sport | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 8 | 1.90 | WWWDLD | 5.7/10 |
| Fiorentina | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 9 | 1.53 | WWWLLW | 5.5/10 |
Coming into this game, Lausanne Sport has picked up 8 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Lausanne Sport has scored 5 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Lausanne Sport at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 5 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Lausanne Sport will be confident of scoring today and will look to keep up their record of scoring in every single home game this season.
Lausanne Sport has had no trouble finding the back of the net recently and has scored in the last 5 home games. They have failed to find the net in 0 home game this season.
Lausanne Sport has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 3 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 6 occasions.
Lausanne Sport will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Fiorentina, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 2 and drawn 2
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Lausanne Sport recently, with the side failing to score in 2 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Lausanne Sport has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 4/11 games for Lausanne Sport this season.
Lausanne Sport will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 2 matches. During the last five games they have scored 5 times and overall this season they have scored 1.64 goals per game.
Coming into this game, Fiorentina has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Fiorentina has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Fiorentina has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 3/7 games for Fiorentina this season.
Lausanne Sport a battu Fiorentina 1-0 en Conference League le jeudi 18 décembre 2025 à 20:00. xG du match : 1.8 pour Lausanne Sport, 1.3 pour Fiorentina. Possession : 46% pour Lausanne Sport, 54% pour Fiorentina. Tirs : 17 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Lausanne Sport, 11 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Fiorentina. Indice de forme : Lausanne Sport 5.7/10, Fiorentina 5.5/10.
Score final : Lausanne Sport 1-0 Fiorentina. L'algorithme avait prevu Fiorentina (40%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.