Academico Viseu vs GD Chaves - Liga Pro - Journee 8 - samedi 25 octobre 2025 à 14:30
Stade : Estádio Municipal do Fontelo
Score final : Academico Viseu 1-0 GD Chaves
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Academico Viseu favori avec 35% de chances de victoire (nul 31%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.8 pour Academico Viseu, 1.0 pour GD Chaves. Academico Viseu a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Academico Viseu ✓ | 35% | 2,50 | -5,0% |
| Match nul | 31% | 3,07 | -2,0% |
| Victoire GD Chaves | 34% | 2,60 | -4,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Pro :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Academico Viseu marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 77% | 1,36 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| GD Chaves marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 76% | 1,38 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 59% | 1,95 | +8,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 41% | 1,81 | -14,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 79% | 1,45 | +10,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 55% | 2,25 | +11,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 33% | 4,50 | +11,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 45% | 1,57 | -19,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 67% | 1,18 | -18,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Academico Viseu vs GD Chaves :
| Statistique | Academico Viseu | GD Chaves |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,78 | 1,04 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 0 |
| Possession | 56% | 44% |
| Tirs | 15 | 8 |
| Tirs cadrés | 7 | 2 |
| Corners | 3 | 3 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 47 | 53 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Academico Viseu | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 | 1.57 | DLWDLD | 3/10 |
| GD Chaves | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +5 | 13 | 1.54 | DDWDWW | 7.3/10 |
Coming into this game, Academico Viseu has picked up 5 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Academico Viseu has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 5 games for Academico Viseu ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
In the last 5 matches for Academico Viseu, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 5 matches (71% of all matches) involving Academico Viseu has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Academico Viseu will score today, as they have netted in the last 5 games coming into this one and have scored 9 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, GD Chaves has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. GD Chaves has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
GD Chaves has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 3 games.
Momentum is really building for GD Chaves as they have now gone 7 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
GD Chaves has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 3 occasions.
GD Chaves is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Academico Viseu, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 7 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for GD Chaves has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 4/7 games for GD Chaves this season.
It's likely that GD Chaves will score today, as they have netted in the last 7 games coming into this one and have scored 7 goals in the last five games.
Academico Viseu a battu GD Chaves 1-0 en Liga Pro le samedi 25 octobre 2025 à 14:30 au Estádio Municipal do Fontelo. xG du match : 1.8 pour Academico Viseu, 1.0 pour GD Chaves. Possession : 56% pour Academico Viseu, 44% pour GD Chaves. Tirs : 15 (dont 7 cadrés) pour Academico Viseu, 8 (dont 2 cadrés) pour GD Chaves. Indice de forme : Academico Viseu 3/10, GD Chaves 7.3/10. Sur 12 confrontations directes : 3 victoires Academico Viseu, 4 nuls, 5 victoires GD Chaves.
Score final : Academico Viseu 1-0 GD Chaves. L'algorithme avait prevu Academico Viseu (35%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.