Basel vs Viktoria Plzeň - Europa League - Journee 8 - jeudi 29 janvier 2026 à 20:00
Stade : St. Jakob-Park
Score final : Basel 0-1 Viktoria Plzeň
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Basel favori avec 46% de chances de victoire (nul 28%). L'algorithme avait prévu Basel favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.3 pour Basel, 1.6 pour Viktoria Plzeň. Viktoria Plzeň a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Basel | 46% | 1,90 | -7,0% |
| Match nul | 28% | 3,85 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Viktoria Plzeň ✓ | 27% | 3,20 | -4,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Europa League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Basel marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 82% | 1,13 | -6,0% |
| Viktoria Plzeň marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 71% | 1,22 | -11,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 58% | 1,44 | -11,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 42% | 2,61 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 79% | 1,16 | -7,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 56% | 1,54 | -9,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 34% | 2,38 | -8,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 44% | 2,44 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 66% | 1,68 | +6,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Basel vs Viktoria Plzeň :
| Statistique | Basel | Viktoria Plzeň |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,31 | 1,65 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 1 |
| Possession | 45% | 55% |
| Tirs | 13 | 15 |
| Tirs cadrés | 3 | 3 |
| Corners | 6 | 7 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 38 | 67 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Basel | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 6 | 1.51 | WLWLLL | 2.1/10 |
| Viktoria Plzeň | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | +4 | 11 | 1.30 | WWDDDD | 5.6/10 |
Coming into this game, Basel has picked up 3 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Basel has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Basel will be confident of scoring today and will look to keep up their record of scoring in every single home game this season.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 7 games for Basel ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
In the last 5 matches for Basel, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 5 matches (71% of all matches) involving Basel has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Basel will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 6 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Viktoria Plzeň has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Viktoria Plzeň has scored 3 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Viktoria Plzeň has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 3 games.
Momentum is really building for Viktoria Plzeň as they have now gone 7 games without losing. They have won 1 of the last 5 games they have played.
Viktoria Plzeň has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 4 occasions.
Viktoria Plzeň is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Basel, having won 1 and drawn 4. They have scored 3 goals in those 5 games.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Viktoria Plzeň recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Viktoria Plzeň has fired blanks in 3 games this season. That's 43% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 3 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Viktoria Plzeň has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 1 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 3/7 games for Viktoria Plzeň this season.
Basel a perdu contre Viktoria Plzeň 0-1 en Europa League le jeudi 29 janvier 2026 à 20:00 au St. Jakob-Park. xG du match : 1.3 pour Basel, 1.6 pour Viktoria Plzeň. Possession : 45% pour Basel, 55% pour Viktoria Plzeň. Tirs : 13 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Basel, 15 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Viktoria Plzeň. Indice de forme : Basel 2.1/10, Viktoria Plzeň 5.6/10.
Score final : Basel 0-1 Viktoria Plzeň. L'algorithme avait prevu Basel (46%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.