Paços de Ferreira vs Portimonense - Liga Pro - Journee 8 - samedi 25 octobre 2025 à 13:00
Stade : Estádio da Capital do Móvel
Score final : Paços de Ferreira 4-1 Portimonense
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Paços de Ferreira favori avec 35% de chances de victoire (nul 31%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 2.1 pour Paços de Ferreira, 2.0 pour Portimonense. Paços de Ferreira a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Paços de Ferreira ✓ | 35% | 2,50 | -5,0% |
| Match nul | 31% | 3,15 | -1,0% |
| Victoire Portimonense | 34% | 2,50 | -6,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Pro :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paços de Ferreira marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 76% | 1,30 | -1,0% |
| Portimonense marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 75% | 1,30 | -2,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 57% | 1,83 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 43% | 1,95 | -8,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 77% | 1,27 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 54% | 2,01 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 31% | 3,34 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 46% | 1,76 | -11,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 69% | 1,24 | -12,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Paços de Ferreira vs Portimonense :
| Statistique | Paços de Ferreira | Portimonense |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 2,12 | 2,01 |
| Buts marqués | 4 | 1 |
| Possession | 34% | 66% |
| Tirs | 18 | 18 |
| Tirs cadrés | 9 | 7 |
| Corners | 5 | 8 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 50 | 54 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paços de Ferreira | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -4 | 5 | 1.12 | DDLDDD | 3/10 |
| Portimonense | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 11 | 1.58 | LDWLWD | 3.9/10 |
Coming into this game, Paços de Ferreira has picked up 4 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Paços de Ferreira has scored 4 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Paços de Ferreira a aimé jouer à domicile récemment, l'équipe étant actuellement sur une série de 2 matchs sans défaite.
Paços de Ferreira has put together a good run of form and has now gone 3 games without defeat.
Paços de Ferreira will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Portimonense, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 0 and drawn 4
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Paços de Ferreira recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Paços de Ferreira has fired blanks in 4 games this season. That's 57% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 4 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Paços de Ferreira has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 0 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 3/7 games for Paços de Ferreira this season.
Coming into this game, Portimonense has picked up 8 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Portimonense has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Portimonense a aimé jouer à l'extérieur récemment, l'équipe étant actuellement invaincue lors de ses 2 derniers matchs.
Portimonense has put together a good run of form and has now gone 2 games without defeat.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 7 games for Portimonense ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Portimonense will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Paços de Ferreira, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 2 and drawn 2
The last 5 games for Portimonense has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Portimonense has seen a total of 7/7 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 100% of all matches played.
It's likely that Portimonense will score today, as they have netted in the last 7 games coming into this one and have scored 8 goals in the last five games.
Paços de Ferreira a battu Portimonense 4-1 en Liga Pro le samedi 25 octobre 2025 à 13:00 au Estádio da Capital do Móvel. xG du match : 2.1 pour Paços de Ferreira, 2.0 pour Portimonense. Possession : 34% pour Paços de Ferreira, 66% pour Portimonense. Tirs : 18 (dont 9 cadrés) pour Paços de Ferreira, 18 (dont 7 cadrés) pour Portimonense. Indice de forme : Paços de Ferreira 3/10, Portimonense 3.9/10. Sur 14 confrontations directes : 3 victoires Paços de Ferreira, 6 nuls, 5 victoires Portimonense.
Score final : Paços de Ferreira 4-1 Portimonense. L'algorithme avait prevu Paços de Ferreira (35%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.