Union Saint-Gilloise vs Atalanta - Ligue des Champions - Journee 8 - mercredi 28 janvier 2026 à 20:00
Stade : Stade Constant Vanden Stock
Score final : Union Saint-Gilloise 1-0 Atalanta
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Atalanta favori avec 42% de chances de victoire (nul 29%). L'algorithme avait prévu Atalanta favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.0 pour Union Saint-Gilloise, 1.4 pour Atalanta. Atalanta a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Union Saint-Gilloise ✓ | 29% | 3,40 | 0,0% |
| Match nul | 29% | 3,60 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Atalanta | 42% | 2,02 | -8,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Ligue des Champions :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Saint-Gilloise marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 73% | 1,30 | -4,0% |
| Atalanta marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 80% | 1,17 | -5,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 59% | 1,57 | -5,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 41% | 2,41 | 0,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 79% | 1,18 | -6,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 56% | 1,70 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 34% | 2,49 | -6,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 44% | 2,30 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 66% | 1,48 | -2,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Union Saint-Gilloise vs Atalanta :
| Statistique | Union Saint-Gilloise | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1 | 1,36 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 0 |
| Possession | 36% | 64% |
| Tirs | 8 | 13 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 2 |
| Corners | 0 | 6 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 29 | 54 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Saint-Gilloise | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -10 | 6 | 1.40 | LLLWLL | 0.6/10 |
| Atalanta | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 | 1.57 | WDWWWL | 6.9/10 |
Coming into this game, Union Saint-Gilloise has picked up 3 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Union Saint-Gilloise has scored 4 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Union Saint-Gilloise recently, with the side failing to score in 2 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Union Saint-Gilloise has fired blanks in 3 games this season. That's 43% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 4 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Union Saint-Gilloise has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 1 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 3/7 games for Union Saint-Gilloise this season.
Coming into this game, Atalanta has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Atalanta has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
L'Atalanta aime voyager ces derniers temps, l'équipe étant actuellement sur une série d'invincibilité de 2 matchs à l'extérieur.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 3 games involving Atalanta has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Union Saint-Gilloise get in on the action today? There has been a total of 12 goals in the last 5 games for Atalanta, both home and away.
Atalanta has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 4 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 3 occasions.
Atalanta will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Union Saint-Gilloise, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Atalanta has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 3/7 games for Atalanta this season.
It's likely that Atalanta will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 8 goals in the last five games.
Union Saint-Gilloise a battu Atalanta 1-0 en Ligue des Champions le mercredi 28 janvier 2026 à 20:00 au Stade Constant Vanden Stock. xG du match : 1.0 pour Union Saint-Gilloise, 1.4 pour Atalanta. Possession : 36% pour Union Saint-Gilloise, 64% pour Atalanta. Tirs : 8 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Union Saint-Gilloise, 13 (dont 2 cadrés) pour Atalanta. Indice de forme : Union Saint-Gilloise 0.6/10, Atalanta 6.9/10.
Score final : Union Saint-Gilloise 1-0 Atalanta. L'algorithme avait prevu Atalanta (42%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.