Jagiellonia Białystok vs Korona Kielce - Ekstraklasa - Journee 11 - dimanche 5 octobre 2025 à 10:15
Score final : Jagiellonia Białystok 3-1 Korona Kielce
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Jagiellonia Białystok favori avec 50% de chances de victoire (nul 26%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.9 pour Jagiellonia Białystok, 1.3 pour Korona Kielce. Jagiellonia Białystok a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Jagiellonia Białystok ✓ | 50% | 1,92 | -2,0% |
| Match nul | 26% | 3,30 | -4,0% |
| Victoire Korona Kielce | 24% | 3,30 | -6,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Ekstraklasa :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jagiellonia Białystok marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 85% | 1,18 | 0,0% |
| Korona Kielce marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 71% | 1,38 | -1,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 60% | 1,71 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 40% | 2,17 | -6,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 82% | 1,25 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 60% | 1,80 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 38% | 2,74 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 40% | 1,95 | -11,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 62% | 1,36 | -12,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Jagiellonia Białystok vs Korona Kielce :
| Statistique | Jagiellonia Białystok | Korona Kielce |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,94 | 1,33 |
| Buts marqués | 3 | 1 |
| Possession | 69% | 31% |
| Tirs | 18 | 14 |
| Tirs cadrés | 7 | 3 |
| Corners | 7 | 7 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 45 | 34 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jagiellonia Białystok | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 18 | 1.58 | WWDWDD | 6.8/10 |
| Korona Kielce | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 18 | 1.67 | DWWWDW | 8.3/10 |
Coming into this game, Jagiellonia Białystok has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Jagiellonia Białystok has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Jagiellonia Białystok est en grande forme, et les supporters à domicile doivent apprécier. Ils ont remporté les 3 derniers matchs qu'ils ont joués à domicile.
Korona Kielce's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Jagiellonia Białystok from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 3 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Jagiellonia Białystok as they have now gone 8 games without losing. They have won 2 of the last 5 games they have played.
Jagiellonia Białystok has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 3 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 3 occasions.
Jagiellonia Białystok is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Korona Kielce, having won 2 and drawn 3. They have scored 6 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Jagiellonia Białystok has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 5/9 games for Jagiellonia Białystok this season.
Coming into this game, Korona Kielce has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Korona Kielce has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Korona Kielce has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 4 games.
Momentum is really building for Korona Kielce as they have now gone 8 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Korona Kielce has kept 4 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 1 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 5 occasions.
Korona Kielce is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Jagiellonia Białystok, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 9 goals in those 5 games.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Korona Kielce has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 3/10 games for Korona Kielce this season.
Jagiellonia Białystok a battu Korona Kielce 3-1 en Ekstraklasa le dimanche 5 octobre 2025 à 10:15. xG du match : 1.9 pour Jagiellonia Białystok, 1.3 pour Korona Kielce. Possession : 69% pour Jagiellonia Białystok, 31% pour Korona Kielce. Tirs : 18 (dont 7 cadrés) pour Jagiellonia Białystok, 14 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Korona Kielce. Indice de forme : Jagiellonia Białystok 6.8/10, Korona Kielce 8.3/10. Sur 33 confrontations directes : 15 victoires Jagiellonia Białystok, 9 nuls, 9 victoires Korona Kielce.
Score final : Jagiellonia Białystok 3-1 Korona Kielce. L'algorithme avait prevu Jagiellonia Białystok (50%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.